Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Zulte Waregem 4-0 SK Beveren.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Zulte Waregem, 24% draw, 22% SK Beveren — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zulte Waregem at 54% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Louis BostynG
- 49Franz TangalaD
- 4Laurent LemoineD
- 5Jakob KiilerichD
- 55Yannick CappelleD
- 8Thomas ClaesM
- 6Enrique LofolomoM
- 11Marley AkéM
- 20Tobias HedlM
- 21István ÁtrokM
- 18Anosike EmentaF
- 42Arnaud DobbelsG
- 45Benoit De JaegereD
- 23Salim DiakitéD
- 25Tristan PanduroM
- 10Malick MbayeF
- 7Nikola MituljikićF
- 36Serxho UjkaM
- 53Kewan VembaF
- 90Akpa Chukwu HemsleyF
- 1Johannes SchenkG
- 21Laurent JansD
- 35Yoni GomisD
- 31Bruno GodeauD
- 4Christophe JanssensD
- 18Sieben DewaeleM
- 34Kurt AbrahamsM
- 8Ferre SlegersM
- 22Christian BrülsM
- 5Chris LokesaM
- 92Lennart MertensF
- 84Josua Lusamba TshiololaG
- 48Jannik Thomas RobatschD
- 2Dominic ThompsonD
- 17Jearl MargarithaF
- 14Léandre KuavitaM
- 44Cheick Oumar CondéM
- 10Guillaume De SchryverM
- 6Dante RigoM
- 9Moise KaboréF
Form going into Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren
Zulte Waregem
- D0-0away to Union St. Gilloise15 August 2026
SK Beveren
- W1-0Anderlecht16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Zulte Waregem | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | SK Beveren | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren
- 22 August 2026Zulte Waregem 4–0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
- 28 February 2025SK Beveren 3–2 Zulte WaregemChallenger Pro League
- 7 December 2024Zulte Waregem 4–0 SK BeverenChallenger Pro League
- 3 February 2024Zulte Waregem 0–1 SK BeverenChallenger Pro League
- 8 October 2023SK Beveren 0–3 Zulte WaregemChallenger Pro League
- 16 January 2021SK Beveren 1–5 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Zulte Waregem and SK Beveren
Zulte Waregem
- Á. Zalán3 goals
- T. Hedl2 goals2 assists
SK Beveren
- C. Lokesa3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.