SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: SV Meppen 2-1 SSV Jahn Regensburg.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% SV Meppen, 30% draw, 30% SSV Jahn Regensburg — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
SV Meppen at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
Line-ups
- 44J. PüntG
- 20N. TougloD
- 19L. SprekelmeyerD
- 33Stefan RankicD
- 39F. BährD
- 6E. ZehirM
- 5J. FedlM
- 14T. DetersM
- 10K. GhawiluF
- 17J. EhlersF
- 7O. SchmittF
- 9C. AkonoF
- 4Jona BorsumM
- 1N. OberbeckG
- 11S. EngelmannF
- 28Jonas GoldensteinM
- 31L. PrasseF
- 23N. WesselsM
- 24Henrik WittrockM
- 21M. HeyerD
- 1H. HermannG
- 25N. OliveiraD
- 37Leopold WurmD
- 5L. MühlD
- 44M. KarbsteinD
- 26B. BauerD
- 35S. HingerlM
- 10N. BoujellabM
- 31L. MätzlerM
- 27L. HermesF
- 34P. HobschF
- 20J. PosseltF
- 23M. SchmittG
- 40J. SeiboldM
- 22S. StolzeD
- 11M. WörnerF
- 14R. ZiegeleD
- 8D. PhilippF
- 13E. MajetschakM
- 21Z. JánóM
Form going into SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
SV Meppen
3. Liga
- D0-0away to Fortuna Düsseldorf30 October 2026
- W4-0Würzburger Kickers24 October 2026
- D1-1Havelse18 October 2026
- W2-0away to Hansa Rostock13 October 2026
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3. Liga
- W2-1Hansa Rostock31 October 2026
- L0-1away to Rot-Weiß Essen23 October 2026
- D0-0SV Wehen17 October 2026
- D2-2away to Verl14 October 2026
What these results say
- SV Meppen went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- SV Meppen scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- SV Meppen kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- SSV Jahn Regensburg failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- SSV Jahn Regensburg conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SV Meppen | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 |
| 16 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: SV Meppen and SSV Jahn Regensburg
SV Meppen
No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
SSV Jahn Regensburg
GoalsAssists
- L. Hermes62
- N. Boujellab34
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SV Meppen beat SSV Jahn Regensburg 2–1. The model had made a win for SV Meppen its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Thorben Deters 4' for SV Meppen, Lucas Hermes 52' for SSV Jahn Regensburg, Jonas Goldenstein 73' for SV Meppen. Sent off: Benedikt Bauer (SSV Jahn Regensburg) 90+3'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave SV Meppen a 10.8% chance to finish in the bottom four: 7.2% after a win, 12.1% after a draw, 13.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 7.2%, 3.6 points lower than before the match.
For SSV Jahn Regensburg the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 10.9% going in: 7.2% after a win, 10.2% after a draw, 13.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 13.1%, 2.2 points higher than before the match.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.