7 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

SV Wehen vs Havelse 3. Liga prediction & result

BRITA-Arena, Wiesbaden
Referee: Jonah Samuel Njie Besong
Full time3 – 0

Final score: SV Wehen 3-0 Havelse.

Before kick-off the model made it 63% SV Wehen, 21% draw, 16% Havelse — fair odds of 1.59, 4.76 and 6.25.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SV Wehen at 63%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SV Wehen99%Draw1%Havelse0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Justin Janitzekassist: Raul Paula
10'
23'
Yusuf Wardak
Ben Nink
31'
⚽Roberto Massimoassist: Marcus Muller
47'
58'
🔁Niklas Tauerout: Alexander Guiddir
58'
🔁Yusuf Wardakout: Robin Velasco
63'
Dennis Duah
🔁Marcus Mullerout: Moritz Flotho
71'
🔁Lukas Schleimerout: Tarik Gözüsirin
71'
72'
🔁Eryk Artur Grzywaczout: Lorenzo Paldino
Moritz Flotho
74'
⚽Tarik Gözüsirinassist: Roberto Massimo
81'
🔁Raul Paulaout: Robin Kalem
82'
🔁Ben Ninkout: Niklas May
82'
Fabian Greilinger
83'
83'
🔁Jesse Edem Tugbenyoout: Robin Müller
83'
🔁Leon Sommerout: Max Lamby
🔁Roberto Massimoout: Ayoub Chaikhoun
85'

Match stats — SV Wehen vs Havelse

45%Possession55%
12Shots6
7On target0
4Corners2

Line-ups

SV Wehen 5-3-2
  • 16F. StritzelG
  • 17Ben NinkD
  • 37M. BrandtD
  • 19F. HübnerD
  • 15J. JanitzekD
  • 18F. GreilingerD
  • 6G. FechnerM
  • 7L. SchleimerM
  • 32R. PaulaM
  • 22R. MassimoF
  • 21M. MüllerF
Substitutes
  • 45I. Ati AllahM
  • 31N. BrdarG
  • 20Ayoub ChaikhounM
  • 28M. FlothoF
  • 11T. GözüsirinM
  • 29P. HercherD
  • 10R. KalemM
  • 5N. MayD
  • 24T. NeubertD
Coach: J. Seitz
Havelse 3-4-1-2
  • 1T. OpitzG
  • 15D. DuahD
  • 4S. BelkahiaD
  • 10K. SchumacherD
  • 22L. SommerM
  • 12Eryk Artur GrzywaczM
  • 33J. TugbenyoM
  • 8J. BergerM
  • 5N. TauerM
  • 14Y. WardakF
  • 11K. Okyere WriedtF
Substitutes
  • 7M. RichterM
  • 27I. NdukaD
  • 19E. VoufackD
  • 28R. VelascoF
  • 25Fynn Ole WolterG
  • 23R. MüllerM
  • 3M. LambyD
  • 20Alexander GuiddirF
  • 9L. PaldinoF
Coach: S. Ferchichi

Form going into SV Wehen vs Havelse

SV Wehen

3. Liga

  • W4-1away to Verl31 October 2026
  • W7-1SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach24 October 2026
  • D0-0away to SSV Jahn Regensburg17 October 2026
  • W3-0Alemannia Aachen14 October 2026

Havelse

3. Liga

  • D1-1FC Ingolstadt 0431 October 2026
  • W3-2FC Saarbrücken25 October 2026
  • D1-1away to SV Meppen18 October 2026
  • D2-2Würzburger Kickers13 October 2026

What these results say

  • SV Wehen went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • SV Wehen won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • SV Wehen scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Havelse went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Havelse scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Havelse conceded in every one of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4SV Wehen136342617+921
20Havelse132471729-1210

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SV Wehen vs Havelse

  • 8 April 2026SV Wehen 1–4 Havelse3. Liga
  • 1 November 2025Havelse 0–2 SV Wehen3. Liga
  • 26 January 2022Havelse 0–1 SV Wehen3. Liga
  • 22 August 2021SV Wehen 2–1 Havelse3. Liga

Leading scorers: SV Wehen and Havelse

SV Wehen

GoalsAssists

  • R. Massimo33
  • R. Kalem32

Havelse

GoalsAssists

  • K. Okyere Wriedt32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SV Wehen beat Havelse 3–0. The model had made a win for SV Wehen its most likely outcome, at 63%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Justin Janitzek 10' for SV Wehen, Roberto Massimo 47' for SV Wehen, Tarik Gözüsirin 81' for SV Wehen.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave SV Wehen a 22.1% chance to finish in the top three: 24.1% after a win, 16.6% after a draw, 14.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 24.1%, 2 points higher than before the match.

For Havelse the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 76.6% going in: 66.3% after a win, 75.6% after a draw, 78.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 78.9%, 2.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on SV Wehen v Havelse has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 57% / 24% / 19% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 63% / 21% / 16%: the biggest move is SV Wehen's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. SV Wehen win63%▲ +6
  2. Draw21%▼ −3
  3. Havelse win16%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.