8 November 2026, 18:30 UTC

Würzburger Kickers vs Hoffenheim II 3. Liga prediction & result

Flyeralarm Arena, Wurzburger
Referee: Franziska Wildfeuer
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Würzburger Kickers 0-1 Hoffenheim II.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Würzburger Kickers, 26% draw, 33% Hoffenheim II — fair odds of 2.44, 3.85 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Würzburger Kickers at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Würzburger Kickers0%Draw5%Hoffenheim II95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
Matthew Moore
Luke Hemmerich
33'
33'
Klaus Gjasula
47'
⚽Yasin Zorassist: Matthew Moore
🔁Tim Krausout: Ivan Franjic
60'
🔁Pedro Eliot Narciso Mutebaout: David Abrangao
60'
🔁David Kinsombiout: L. Omore
60'
69'
🔁Klaus Gjasulaout: Diren Dağdeviren
69'
🔁Blessing Makanda Malekoout: Oskar Hencke
77'
🔁Yasin Zorout: Lion Wagenbach
🔁Luke Hemmerichout: Thomas Kastanaras
79'
🔁Dominik Meiselout: Jermain Nischalke
86'
89'
🔁Tiago Pollerout: K. Čížek
Xaver Kiefersauer
89'
89'
🔁Jakov Dedicout: Ben Opoku Labes
90+1'
Oskar Hencke
90+3'
Lúkas Petersson

Match stats — Würzburger Kickers vs Hoffenheim II

36%Possession64%
8Shots17
3On target4
4Corners7

Line-ups

Würzburger Kickers 4-4-1-1
  • 33M. RajkovačićG
  • 21L. HemmerichD
  • 16L. BreunigD
  • 5L. EberleD
  • 25D. MeiselD
  • 7E. MutebaM
  • 27Xaver KiefersauerM
  • 6Namrud EmbayeM
  • 31T. KrausM
  • 8D. KinsombiM
  • 30T. BongaF
Substitutes
  • 37I. FranjićM
  • 28E. FarahnakD
  • 3D. AbrangaoD
  • 1Johann HipperG
  • 22D. HägeleM
  • 19T. KastanarasF
  • 9Jermain NischalkeF
  • 13P. OchsM
  • 17L. OmoreF
Coach: M. Schiele
Hoffenheim II 3-4-3
  • 1L. PeterssonG
  • 15Matthew MooreD
  • 44Maxime Ndong PendaD
  • 3Sean DulicD
  • 20Juan Tiago Esteban PollerM
  • 5K. GjasulaM
  • 16L. EngelnsM
  • 47Maximilian TheuerM
  • 17B. MakandaF
  • 36J. DedicF
  • 10Y. B. Zor MuhammedF
Substitutes
  • 8Diren DağdevirenM
  • 7O. HenckeM
  • 21T. HildmannD
  • 26K. ČížekM
  • 45Emil KramerM
  • 9B. O. LabesF
  • 32Tim PhilippG
  • 40Pistrol SantinoD
  • 18L. WagenbachF
Coach: Stefan Kleineheismann

Form going into Würzburger Kickers vs Hoffenheim II

Würzburger Kickers

3. Liga

  • W2-1away to Fortuna Köln31 October 2026
  • L0-4away to SV Meppen24 October 2026
  • W2-0Waldhof Mannheim17 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Havelse13 October 2026

Hoffenheim II

3. Liga

  • L0-1FC Viktoria Köln31 October 2026
  • L1-4away to Waldhof Mannheim25 October 2026
  • W2-1Verl18 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Stuttgart II13 October 2026

What these results say

  • Würzburger Kickers scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Würzburger Kickers conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Würzburger Kickers had three goals or more.
  • Hoffenheim II conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Hoffenheim II failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Hoffenheim II scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Würzburger Kickers134271725-814
9Hoffenheim II136162220+219

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Würzburger Kickers vs Hoffenheim II

  • 22 January 2025Hoffenheim II 3–1 Würzburger KickersFriendlies Clubs
  • 22 January 2025Hoffenheim II 3–1 Würzburger KickersFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Würzburger Kickers and Hoffenheim II

Würzburger Kickers

GoalsAssists

  • T. Bonga41

Hoffenheim II

GoalsAssists

  • Y. B. Zor Muhammed83

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hoffenheim II won 1–0 at Würzburger Kickers. The model had leaned towards a win for Würzburger Kickers at 41% and given a win for Hoffenheim II 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Yasin Zor 47' for Hoffenheim II.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Würzburger Kickers a 29.1% chance to finish in the bottom four: 23.2% after a win, 31.3% after a draw, 34.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 34.9%, 5.8 points higher than before the match.

For Hoffenheim II the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 14.8% going in: 10.0% after a win, 14.0% after a draw, 17.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 10.0%, 4.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Würzburger Kickers v Hoffenheim II has moved

First published on 25 Oct at 36% / 26% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 41% / 26% / 33%: the biggest move is Würzburger Kickers's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Würzburger Kickers win41%▲ +5
  2. Draw26%=
  3. Hoffenheim II win33%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.