Switzerland vs North Macedonia UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Switzerland 3-0 North Macedonia.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Switzerland, 24% draw, 13% North Macedonia — fair odds of 1.59, 4.17 and 7.69.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Switzerland at 63%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Switzerland vs North Macedonia
Line-ups
- 12Y. MvogoG
- 2S. BritschgiD
- 4N. ElvediD
- 5M. AkanjiD
- 13R. RodríguezD
- 8R. FreulerM
- 6V. SierroM
- 15D. SowM
- 22F. RiederM
- 11D. NdoyeM
- 10Z. AmdouniF
- 20M. AebischerM
- 23A. SanchesM
- 16Z. AthekameD
- 3A. BajramiD
- 19Winsley Boteli MokangoF
- 18E. CömertD
- 17C. IttenF
- 14A. JashariM
- 21M. KellerG
- 23S. DimitrievskiG
- 4A. StojchevskiD
- 5G. ZajkovD
- 6V. MusliuD
- 8E. AlioskiD
- 15A. EleziM
- 19L. DorievM
- 20D. MitrovskiM
- 10E. BardhiM
- 7E. ElmasM
- 11E. RastoderF
- 3S. AlomeroviсD
- 1D. TaleskiG
- 21L. StankovskiM
- 12D. ShishkovskiG
- 17A. OmeragikjF
- 9B. MiovskiF
- 18T. KostadinovM
- 2Bojan IlievskiD
- 14G. DzhekovD
Form going into Switzerland vs North Macedonia
Switzerland
UEFA Nations League
- W2-1Slovenia3 October 2026
- W3-0away to Scotland29 September 2026
- W3-0away to North Macedonia26 September 2026
North Macedonia
UEFA Nations League
- L0-2Scotland3 October 2026
- L0-2away to Slovenia29 September 2026
- L0-3Switzerland26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 13 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Switzerland vs North Macedonia
- 26 September 2026North Macedonia 0–3 SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League
Leading scorers: Switzerland and North Macedonia
Switzerland
GoalsAssists
- Z. Amdouni31
North Macedonia
No player in UEFA Nations League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Switzerland beat North Macedonia 3–0. The model had made a win for Switzerland its most likely outcome, at 63%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Fabian Rieder 43' for Switzerland, Johan Manzambi 73' for Switzerland, Dan Ndoye 81' for Switzerland.
How the call on Switzerland v North Macedonia has moved
First published on 30 Sep at 69% / 20% / 11% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 63% / 24% / 13%: the biggest move is Switzerland's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Switzerland win63%▼ −6
- Draw24%▲ +4
- North Macedonia win13%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.