Sydney FC vs Adelaide United A-League prediction & result
Final score: Sydney FC 2-1 Adelaide United.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Sydney FC, 30% draw, 34% Adelaide United — fair odds of 2.78, 3.33 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Sydney FC at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sydney FC vs Adelaide United
Line-ups
- 12Harrison Devenish-MearesG
- 23Rhyan GrantD
- 41Alexandar PopovicD
- 4Jordan Courtney-PerkinsD
- 17Ben GaruccioD
- 35Al Hassan ToureM
- 36Rhys YoulleyM
- 8Wataru KamijoM
- 14Takahiro SekineM
- 20Tiago QuintalF
- 9Oriola SundayF
- 29Joseph LaceyM
- 7Akol AkonF
- 2James OveryD
- 30Alexander ZaverdinosG
- 28Ethan DyerD
- 16Gabriel PopovicF
- 22Mathias MacallisterF
- 22Joshua SmitsG
- 62Fabian TalladiraD
- 52Sotiri PhillisD
- 4Panagiotis KikianisD
- 7Ryan KittoD
- 87AnselmoM
- 55Ethan AlagichM
- 58Harry CrawfordM
- 10Juan MuñizM
- 11Craig GoodwinM
- 35Brody BurkittF
- 12Jonny YullM
- 79Feyzo KasumovicD
- 65Joey GaruccioM
- 99Ajak RiakF
- 19Amlani TatuF
- 40Ethan CoxG
- 15Israel Mbula-MongaD
Form going into Sydney FC vs Adelaide United
Sydney FC
A-League
- D0-0Western Sydney Wanderers16 October 2026
Adelaide United
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sydney FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 12 | Adelaide United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sydney FC vs Adelaide United
- 14 February 2026Sydney FC 1–2 Adelaide UnitedA-League
- 17 October 2025Adelaide United 2–1 Sydney FCA-League
- 5 April 2025Adelaide United 2–3 Sydney FCA-League
- 1 February 2025Sydney FC 4–1 Adelaide UnitedA-League
- 20 December 2024Adelaide United 3–3 Sydney FCA-League
- 17 February 2024Sydney FC 2–1 Adelaide UnitedA-League
Leading scorers: Sydney FC and Adelaide United
Sydney FC
GoalsAssists
- A. Toure41
- O. Sunday12
Adelaide United
GoalsAssists
- Brody Burkitt20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sydney FC beat Adelaide United 2–1. The model had made a win for Sydney FC its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: B. Burkitt 16' for Adelaide United, R. Youlley 64' for Sydney FC, O. Sunday 73' for Sydney FC.
How the call on Sydney FC v Adelaide United has moved
First published on 11 Oct at 38% / 28% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 36% / 30% / 34%: the biggest move is Sydney FC's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Sydney FC win36%▼ −2
- Draw30%▲ +2
- Adelaide United win34%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.