Teplice vs Artis Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Teplice 0-0 Artis.
Before kick-off the model made it 58% Teplice, 23% draw, 19% Artis — fair odds of 1.72, 4.35 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Teplice at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Teplice vs Artis
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29M. TrmalG
- 3J. ŠvandaD
- 4O. VientiessD
- 28D. VečerkaD
- 25M. RizničD
- 8J. FortelnýM
- 23L. MarečekM
- 35M. RadostaM
- 12M. ČermákM
- 21I. HopiM
- 11M. KozákF
- 17John AutaM
- 7A. BadamosiF
- 6M. BílekM
- 15J. HarušťákD
- 5J. JakubkoD
- 19R. JuklM
- 14Ladislav Krejčí IM
- 31K. LichtenbergG
- 37D. MarečekM
- 29R. KasikG
- 33N. GlossoaD
- 4D. PlechatýD
- 34K. PojeznýD
- 15E. FullyD
- 36S. BoháčM
- 9A. LabíkM
- 7A. AléguéM
- 6Q. AdediranM
- 27D. PreislerM
- 12E. NdiayeF
- 21A. CarlénM
- 11I. FombaM
- 2Š. HarazimD
- 5M. JeřábekD
- 8S. KomljenovicM
- 17PapaléléF
- 87V. PerišićF
- 14A. PetrákM
- 26M. PospíšilM
Form going into Teplice vs Artis
Teplice
Czech Liga
- L0-1away to Mlada Boleslav17 October 2026
- D1-1Sigma Olomouc11 October 2026
Artis
Czech Liga
- W4-2away to Hradec Králové10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Teplice | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 21 |
| 14 | Artis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Teplice vs Artis
- 30 October 2024Artis 1–3 TepliceCup
Leading scorers: Teplice and Artis
Teplice
GoalsAssists
- M. Pulkrab43
- John Auta40
Artis
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Teplice and Artis drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Teplice at 58% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 2.39–1.45.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Teplice a 86.5% chance to finish in the top ten: 89.5% after a win, 84.2% after a draw, 79.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 84.2%, 2.3 points lower than before the match.
For Artis the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 70.2% going in: 61.5% after a win, 69.1% after a draw, 73.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 69.1%, 1.1 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Czech Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Teplice v Artis has moved
First published on 10 Oct at 64% / 21% / 15% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 58% / 23% / 19%: the biggest move is Teplice's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Teplice win58%▼ −6
- Draw23%▲ +2
- Artis win19%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.