24 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest NB I prediction & result

ETO Park
Referee: M. Derdak
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Gyori ETO FC 1-0 Ujpest.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Gyori ETO FC, 24% draw, 22% Ujpest — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Gyori ETO FC at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gyori ETO FC97%Draw3%Ujpest0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

24'
Matija Ljujic
⚽Luka Kulenovićassist: Miljan·Krpic
25'
45+1'
Ferenc Ujváry
45'
🔁Matija Ljujicout: Arne Maier
45'
🔁Muhamed Tijaniout: Gleofilo Vlijter
M. Szép
51'
54'
Norbert Szendrei
🔁Élan Ricardoout: Željko Gavrić
60'
🔁viktor djukanovicout: Kevin Bánáti
66'
🔁Jewison Bennetteout: Stefan Vlădoiu
66'
68'
🔁Ábel Krajcsovicsout: Krisztofer Horvath
74'
🔁Mario Zekeout: Tizian Valentino Scharmer
🔁Luka Kulenovićout: M. Marong
75'
🔁Marcell huszarout: Á. Umathum
75'
88'
🔁Ferenc Ujváryout: Miron Mate Mucsanyi
90'
Miron Mate Mucsanyi
Miljan·Krpic
90+1'

Match stats — Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest

46%Possession54%
12Shots26
5On target7
6Corners1
1.04xG2.86

Goals against chances

Gyori ETO FC1 from 1.04 xGabout what the chances were worth
Ujpest0 from 2.86 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Gyori ETO FC 5-4-1
  • 99S. PetrášG
  • 19J. BennetteD
  • 37N. UrblíkD
  • 24M. KrpićD
  • 23D. ŠtefuljD
  • 96M. HuszárD
  • 9L. KulenovićM
  • 77Élan RicardoM
  • 7P. AgbaM
  • 14M. SzépM
  • 34V. ĐukanovićF
Substitutes
  • 90K. BánátiM
  • 20B. BíróD
  • 21E. BödőM
  • 80Ž. GavrićF
  • 88M. GigerF
  • 16B. MegyeriG
  • 2Ș. VlădoiuD
  • 26Á. UmathumD
  • 30M. MarongF
Coach: E. Juárez
Ujpest 4-4-2
  • 1P. SzappanosG
  • 36Ferenc UjvaryD
  • 3HeitorD
  • 94P. StronatiD
  • 20M. ZekeD
  • 27Á. KrajcsovicsM
  • 88M. LjujićM
  • 8N. SzendreiM
  • 17A. MatkoM
  • 26M. TijaniF
  • 14E. AmenyidoF
Substitutes
  • 23D. BanaiG
  • 45A. AdemiM
  • 11K. HorváthM
  • 10A. MaierM
  • 15M. MátéM
  • 30João NunesD
  • 38K. SarkadiM
  • 21T. ScharmerM
  • 39G. VlijterF
Coach: Z. Szélesi

Form going into Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest

Gyori ETO FC

NB I

  • W2-1away to Paks17 October 2026
  • L0-1Puskas Academy11 October 2026

Ujpest

NB I

  • L0-1Puskas Academy17 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Budapest Honved11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Gyori ETO FC136522215+723
6Ujpest135352120+118

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest

  • 28 February 2026Gyori ETO FC 2–1 UjpestNB I
  • 8 November 2025Ujpest 0–3 Gyori ETO FCNB I
  • 3 August 2025Gyori ETO FC 1–1 UjpestNB I
  • 3 May 2025Ujpest 2–3 Gyori ETO FCNB I
  • 8 February 2025Gyori ETO FC 3–0 UjpestNB I
  • 27 September 2024Ujpest 0–0 Gyori ETO FCNB I

Leading scorers: Gyori ETO FC and Ujpest

Gyori ETO FC

GoalsAssists

  • V. Đukanović40
  • L. Kulenović32

Ujpest

GoalsAssists

  • A. Matko63
  • E. Amenyido45
  • G. Vlijter32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Gyori ETO FC beat Ujpest 1–0. The model had made a win for Gyori ETO FC its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Luka Kulenović 25' for Gyori ETO FC. On expected goals it finished 1.04–2.86.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Gyori ETO FC a 31.5% chance to win the league: 35.6% after a win, 26.2% after a draw, 23.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 35.6%, 4.1 points higher than before the match.

For Ujpest the question was the chance to finish in the top three, 15.4% going in: 21.0% after a win, 15.1% after a draw, 12.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.9%, 2.5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our NB I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.