27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC

Torino vs Como Serie A prediction & result

Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Turin
Referee: Guiseppe Collu
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Torino 1-3 Como.

Before kick-off the model made it 24% Torino, 27% draw, 49% Como — fair odds of 4.17, 3.70 and 2.04.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Como at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Torino0%Draw3%Como97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Che Adamsassist: Kian Fitz-Jim
24'
🔁Alessio Cacciamaniout: Nathan Patterson
55'
🔁Kian Fitz-Jimout: Gvidas Gineitis
55'
58'
🔁Maximo Perroneout: Jayden Addai
58'
🔁Maxence Caqueretout: Martin Baturina
70'
🔁Álex Valleout: Kaiki Bruno
Rafik Belghali
72'
🔁Giovanni Simeoneout: Sandro Kulenović
74'
78'
🔁Jayden Addaiout: Samuele Ricci
78'
🔁Luis Millaout: Ivan Smolcic
81'
⚽Jacobo Ramónassist: Nico Paz
87'
⚽Nico Pazassist: Yan Couto
🔁Rafik Belghaliout: Gaetano Oristanio
89'
🔁Daniel Bragançaout: Emirhan İlkhan
89'
90+2'
⚽Martin Baturina

Match stats — Torino vs Como

28%Possession72%
11Shots18
5On target5
5Corners6
1.17xG2.28

Goals against chances

Torino1 from 1.17 xGabout what the chances were worth
Como3 from 2.28 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Torino 3-5-2
  • 20Lucas PerriG
  • 23Saúl CocoD
  • 44A. IsmajliD
  • 15P. ComuzzoD
  • 45R. BelghaliM
  • 10N. VlašićM
  • 21Daniel BragançaM
  • 28K. Fitz-JimM
  • 77A. CacciamaniM
  • 18G. SimeoneF
  • 19C. AdamsF
Substitutes
  • 26D. MascardiG
  • 3C. BiraghiD
  • 22C. CasadeiM
  • 5E. CömertD
  • 66G. GineitisM
  • 17S. KulenovićF
  • 6E. İlkhanM
  • 91D. ZapataF
  • 76L. SivieroG
Coach: Ignazio Abate
Como 4-2-3-1
  • 97Robert SánchezG
  • 27Yan CoutoD
  • 4Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
  • 2M. KempfD
  • 3Álex ValleD
  • 5M. PerroneM
  • 6Luis MillaM
  • 7L. da CunhaM
  • 10N. PazM
  • 8M. CaqueretM
  • 9T. DouvikasF
Substitutes
  • 18E. GoldanigaD
  • 16KaikiD
  • 22M. VigoritoG
  • 21S. RicciM
  • 42J. AddaiF
  • 54Matteo Oliveira PapaccioliM
  • 15A. LahdoM
  • 53Willy Kambwala NdengushiD
  • 13A. DossenaD
Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Form going into Torino vs Como

Torino

Serie A

  • W3-2Monza23 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Parma19 October 2026

Como

Serie A

  • W2-0Sassuolo24 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Fiorentina18 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Torino114251517-214
5Como117221810+823

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Torino vs Como

  • 24 January 2026Como 6–0 TorinoSerie A
  • 24 November 2025Torino 1–5 ComoSerie A
  • 13 April 2025Como 1–0 TorinoSerie A
  • 25 October 2024Torino 1–0 ComoSerie A

The full Torino vs Como record →

Leading scorers: Torino and Como

Torino

GoalsAssists

  • C. Adams40

Como

GoalsAssists

  • T. Douvikas50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Como won 3–1 at Torino. The model had made a win for Como its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Che Adams 24' for Torino, Jacobo Ramón 81' for Como, Nico Paz 87' for Como, Martin Baturina 90+2' for Como. On expected goals it finished 1.17–2.28.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Como a 56.3% chance to finish in the top four: 61.1% after a win, 52.0% after a draw, 48.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 61.1%, 4.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Serie A season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Torino v Como has moved

First published on 13 Oct at 23% / 26% / 51% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 24% / 27% / 49%: the biggest move is Como's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Torino win24%▲ +1
  2. Draw27%▲ +1
  3. Como win49%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.