8 November 2026, 13:30 UTC

Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt Eliteserien prediction & result

Romssa Arena
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Tromso 0-2 Bodo/Glimt.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Tromso, 25% draw, 50% Bodo/Glimt — fair odds of 4.00, 4.00 and 2.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Bodo/Glimt at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Tromso0%Draw1%Bodo/Glimt99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Isak·Dahlqvist
12'
35'
🔁Ole Didrik Blombergout: Ola Brynhildsen
45+1'
⚽Ola Brynhildsenassist: Andreas Helmersen
45'
🔁Ulrik Saltnesout: Sondre Auklend
🔁Morten Bjorloout: Jesper Andreas Grundt
63'
65'
🔁Andreas Helmersenout: Isak Dybvik Maatta
🔁Daniel Brautout: Heine Asen Larsen
72'
🔁Vegard Erlienout: Lars Olden Larsen
72'
73'
⚽Ola Brynhildsenassist: Sondre Auklend
83'
🔁Sondre Fetout: Joshua Kitolano
90+4'
Joshua Kitolano

Match stats — Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt

55%Possession45%
13Shots9
3On target2
4Corners4
1.09xG1.1

Goals against chances

Tromso0 from 1.09 xGless than the chances were worth
Bodo/Glimt2 from 1.10 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Tromso 5-3-2
  • 1J. HaugaardG
  • 17I. DahlqvistD
  • 21L. HienD
  • 25C. ØyvannD
  • 30I. VådebuD
  • 37S. InnværD
  • 5D. EdvardssonM
  • 11R. JenssenM
  • 70M. BjørloM
  • 15V. ErlienF
  • 9D. BrautF
Substitutes
  • 33M. JattaD
  • 22H. LarsenM
  • 7L. Olden LarsenF
  • 12O. LauvliG
  • 27M. MikkelsenD
  • 24V. OsujiD
  • 19L. Olden LarsenM
  • 18Nicolai Arun JacobsenF
  • 8J. GrundtM
Coach: J. Vik
Bodo/Glimt 4-3-3
  • 12N. HaikinG
  • 20F. SjøvoldD
  • 4O. BjørtuftD
  • 6J. GundersenD
  • 15F. BjørkanD
  • 19S. FetM
  • 7P. BergM
  • 14U. SaltnesM
  • 11O. Didrik BlombergF
  • 21A. HelmersenF
  • 10J. HaugeF
Substitutes
  • 25I. MäättäD
  • 22J. MvukaM
  • 2V. NielsenD
  • 23M. RiisnæsM
  • 28Assan SanyangM
  • 16J. KitolanoM
  • 1J. Faye LundG
  • 17O. BrynhildsenF
  • 8S. AuklendM
Coach: K. Knutsen

Form going into Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt

Tromso

Eliteserien

  • L0-4away to Valerenga1 November 2026
  • L1-3away to Viking25 October 2026
  • D1-1KFUM Oslo18 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Fredrikstad11 October 2026

Bodo/Glimt

Eliteserien

  • W3-2Viking30 October 2026
  • L0-1Valerenga24 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Ham-Kam17 October 2026
  • W3-1Kristiansund BK10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Tromso did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Tromso conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Tromso scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Bodo/Glimt won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Bodo/Glimt scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Bodo/Glimt conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Tromso2611784340+340
2Bodo/Glimt2620246323+4062

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt

  • 16 May 2026Bodo/Glimt 5–0 TromsoEliteserien
  • 9 August 2025Bodo/Glimt 1–1 TromsoEliteserien
  • 16 May 2025Tromso 2–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 19 October 2024Tromso 0–0 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 16 May 2024Bodo/Glimt 4–0 TromsoEliteserien
  • 30 July 2023Bodo/Glimt 0–2 TromsoEliteserien

Leading scorers: Tromso and Bodo/Glimt

Tromso

GoalsAssists

  • H. Larsen104
  • J. Hjertø-Dahl72

Bodo/Glimt

GoalsAssists

  • A. Helmersen132

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Bodo/Glimt won 2–0 at Tromso. The model had made a win for Bodo/Glimt its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Ola Brynhildsen 45+1' for Bodo/Glimt, Ola Brynhildsen 73' for Bodo/Glimt. On expected goals it finished 1.09–1.10.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Bodo/Glimt a 46.5% chance to finish top of the regular season: 57.6% after a win, 37.1% after a draw, 26.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 57.6%, 11.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Eliteserien season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Tromso v Bodo/Glimt has moved

First published on 25 Oct at 28% / 26% / 46% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 25% / 25% / 50%: the biggest move is Bodo/Glimt's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Tromso win25%▼ −3
  2. Draw25%▼ −1
  3. Bodo/Glimt win50%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.