8 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Viking vs KFUM Oslo Eliteserien prediction & result

Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Full time5 – 1

Final score: Viking 5-1 KFUM Oslo.

Before kick-off the model made it 67% Viking, 20% draw, 13% KFUM Oslo — fair odds of 1.49, 5.00 and 7.69.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Viking at 67%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Viking99%Draw1%KFUM Oslo0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Henrik Heggheimout: Herman Haugen
18'
⚽Henrik Bjørdalassist: Joe Bell
21'
31'
Daniel Schneider
45+2'
Tore Andre Soras
⚽Peter Christiansenassist: Vetle Auklend
45+4'
45'
🔁Martin Tangen Vinjorout: Brage Tobiassen
45'
🔁Ola Vistedout: Bilal Njie
⚽Peter Christiansenassist: Herman Haugen
51'
55'
⚽Bilal Njieassist: Jonas Lange Hjorth
⚽Peter Christiansenassist: Erik Botheim
61'
63'
🔁Magnus Grødemout: Bjorn Martin Kristensen
🔁Amin Cosicout: Niklas Fuglestad
68'
🔁Henrik Bjørdalout: Tobias Moi
68'
76'
🔁Jonas Lange Hjorthout: Sander Hansen Sjokvist
🔁Peter Christiansenout: Romano Postema
77'
🔁Joe Bellout: Jakob Segadal Hansen
77'
83'
🔁Robin Raschout: Samuel Tochukwu
⚽Niklas Fuglestadassist: Vetle Auklend
90+2'

Match stats — Viking vs KFUM Oslo

53%Possession47%
29Shots12
11On target4
8Corners2
3.83xG1.09

Goals against chances

Viking5 from 3.83 xGmore than the chances were worth
KFUM Oslo1 from 1.09 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Viking 4-3-3
  • 1A. ØstbøG
  • 5H. HeggheimD
  • 6G. StensnessD
  • 25H. FalchenerD
  • 24Vetle AuklendD
  • 16H. BjørdalM
  • 8J. BellM
  • 26S. Kvia-EgeskogM
  • 20P. ChristiansenF
  • 22E. BotheimF
  • 19A. CosicF
Substitutes
  • 30Ľ. BelkoG
  • 14V. BerishaF
  • 27J. DalandD
  • 23N. FuglestadF
  • 33J. HansenM
  • 2H. HaugenD
  • 29T. MoiM
  • 11R. PostemaF
  • 3V. VevatneD
Coach: B. Aarsheim
KFUM Oslo 3-4-3
  • 1E. ØdegaardG
  • 24H. RøstenD
  • 27T. SøråsD
  • 2D. SchneiderD
  • 14H. HosethM
  • 7R. RaschM
  • 9M. VinjorM
  • 16J. HjorthM
  • 11O. VistedF
  • 28M. GrødemF
  • 18R. VingeF
Substitutes
  • 23M. EikremM
  • 42D. HicksonF
  • 25H. JensenG
  • 22B. KristensenF
  • 10B. NjieF
  • 33A. NouriD
  • 21S. SjøkvistD
  • 8B. TobiassenM
  • 32Samuel TochukwuM
Coach: J. Isnes

Form going into Viking vs KFUM Oslo

Viking

Eliteserien

  • L2-3away to Bodo/Glimt30 October 2026
  • W3-1Tromso25 October 2026
  • W3-2Fredrikstad17 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Brann9 October 2026

KFUM Oslo

Eliteserien

  • D2-2Ham-Kam1 November 2026
  • D2-2away to Kristiansund BK25 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Tromso18 October 2026
  • W2-1Valerenga12 October 2026

What these results say

  • Viking scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Viking won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Viking conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • KFUM Oslo went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • KFUM Oslo scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • KFUM Oslo conceded in every one of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Viking2620246927+4262
10KFUM Oslo2687113346-1331

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Viking vs KFUM Oslo

  • 10 May 2026KFUM Oslo 0–2 VikingEliteserien
  • 14 September 2025KFUM Oslo 2–2 VikingEliteserien
  • 6 April 2025Viking 3–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien
  • 14 September 2024Viking 1–0 KFUM OsloEliteserien
  • 7 July 2024KFUM Oslo 1–2 VikingEliteserien
  • 16 February 2024Viking 1–2 KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Viking and KFUM Oslo

Viking

GoalsAssists

  • P. Christiansen187
  • S. Kvia-Egeskog93
  • H. Heggheim73

KFUM Oslo

GoalsAssists

  • B. Njie83

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Viking beat KFUM Oslo 5–1. The model had made a win for Viking its most likely outcome, at 67%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Henrik Bjørdal 21' for Viking, Peter Christiansen 45+4' for Viking, Peter Christiansen 51' for Viking, Bilal Njie 55' for KFUM Oslo, Peter Christiansen 61' for Viking, Niklas Fuglestad 90+2' for Viking. On expected goals it finished 3.83–1.09.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Viking a 53.5% chance to finish top of the regular season: 59.2% after a win, 40.3% after a draw, 29.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 59.2%, 5.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Eliteserien season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.