Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Union St. Gilloise 0-0 Zulte Waregem.
Before kick-off the model made it 69% Union St. Gilloise, 17% draw, 14% Zulte Waregem — fair odds of 1.45, 5.88 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Union St. Gilloise at 69% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 70H. Koffi
- 5K. Mac Allister
- 55N. Havenaar
- 48F. Leysen
- 27L. Patris
- 6K. Van De Perre
- 17R. Schoofs
- 11Guilherme Smith
- 30R. Florucz
- 23B. Zeneli
- 7M. Fuseini
- 1V. Chambaere
- 80O. Kricfalusi
- 29M. Sylla
- 8A. Zorgane
- 14I. Pavlic
- 28D. Olaru
- 22O. Niang
- 9M. Biondic
- 38R. Mofokeng
- 1L. Bostyn
- 12W. Paugain
- 4L. Lemoine
- 5J. Kiilerich
- 55Y. Cappelle
- 8T. Claes
- 6E. Lofolomo
- 36S. Ujka
- 20T. Hedl
- 18A. Ementa
- 11M. Ake
- 42A. Dobbels
- 3A. Tanghe
- 49F. Tangala
- 2K. Seven
- 25T. Panduro
- 7N. Mituljikic
- 21I. Atrok
- 90H. Akpa-Chukwu
- 53K. Vemba
Form going into Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem
Union St. Gilloise
- L2-3away to Bodo/Glimt11 August 2026
- W5-1away to KVC Westerlo8 August 2026
- D3-3Bodo/Glimt4 August 2026
Zulte Waregem
- W2-1Genk9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union St. Gilloise | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 3 | +16 | 16 |
| 5 | Zulte Waregem | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem
- 15 August 2026Union St. Gilloise 0–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 20 December 2025Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 3 December 2025Union St. Gilloise 2–1 Zulte WaregemCup
- 1 November 2025Zulte Waregem 1–4 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- 5 February 2023Union St. Gilloise 4–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 4 September 2022Zulte Waregem 1–3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Union St. Gilloise and Zulte Waregem
Union St. Gilloise
- R. Florucz4 goals
- R. Mofokeng3 goals
- B. Zeneli2 goals4 assists
Zulte Waregem
- Á. Zalán3 goals
- T. Hedl2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.