15 August 2026, 16:15 UTC

Kortrijk vs Antwerp Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Kortrijk 0-3 Antwerp.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Kortrijk, 25% draw, 39% Antwerp — fair odds of 2.78, 4.00 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Antwerp at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kortrijk0%Draw1%Antwerp99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

31'
⚽A. Valencia
M. Anderson
37'
🔁B. Lambertout: N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
55'
🔁T. Ambroseout: J. van Landschoot
55'
60'
🔁M. Fofanaout: L. Narh
60'
🔁I. Salahout: C. Mejia
65'
⚽A. Valenciaassist: E. Tuypens
70'
🔁A. Valenciaout: M. Busi
70'
🔁E. Tuypensout: L. Schelfhout
🔁J. Ndjeungoueout: H. Murray-Campbell
78'
🔁B. Dejaegereout: B. Adinany
78'
🔁K. Masuiout: S. Ogbuehi
78'
78'
🔁M. Freyout: F. Adekami
80'
⚽R. Van Heldenassist: X. Dierckx

Match stats — Kortrijk vs Antwerp

49%Possession51%
15Shots16
2On target7
3Corners10
0.77xG1.19

Goals against chances

Kortrijk0 from 0.77 xGless than the chances were worth
Antwerp3 from 1.19 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Kortrijk
  • 31M. Ilic
  • 36R. Kohon
  • 22G. Ruyssen
  • 5J. Ndjeungoue
  • 11S. Campbell
  • 19B. Dejaegere
  • 35B. Lambert
  • 3M. Anderson
  • 68T. Ambrose
  • 71K. Masui
  • 10G. Koyalipou
Substitutes
  • 13E. De Vlaeminck
  • 8N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
  • 4H. Murray-Campbell
  • 15M. Fofana
  • 18J. van Landschoot
  • 39B. Adinany
  • 14L. De Smet
  • 90S. Ogbuehi
  • 45G. Lamerand
Coach: Michiel Jonckheere
Antwerp
  • 41T. Nozawa
  • 24T. Somers
  • 4Y. Tsunashima
  • 20R. Van Helden
  • 27E. Tuypens
  • 6J. Ahoka
  • 14X. Dierckx
  • 25M. Fofana
  • 7A. Valencia
  • 77I. Salah
  • 9M. Frey
Substitutes
  • 81N. Devalckeneer
  • 44M. Busi
  • 17S. Renders
  • 11G. Hairemans
  • 33S. Porozo
  • 22F. Adekami
  • 99L. Narh
  • 80C. Mejia
  • 28L. Schelfhout
Coach: Marvin Compper

Form going into Kortrijk vs Antwerp

Kortrijk

  • L0-3away to Club Brugge KV7 August 2026

Antwerp

  • W2-1SK Beveren9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Kortrijk6006115-140
11Antwerp62131113-27

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kortrijk vs Antwerp

  • 15 August 2026Kortrijk 0–3 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • 15 February 2025Antwerp 2–1 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
  • 4 December 2024Kortrijk 0–0 AntwerpCup
  • 9 November 2024Kortrijk 1–2 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • 9 March 2024Kortrijk 0–1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • 11 August 2023Antwerp 6–0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Kortrijk and Antwerp

Kortrijk

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.

Antwerp

  • M. Frey4 goals
  • A. Valencia3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.