Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal Primera División prediction & result
Final score: Universidad de Chile 2-1 Cobresal.
Before kick-off the model made it 69% Universidad de Chile, 18% draw, 13% Cobresal — fair odds of 1.45, 5.56 and 7.69.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Chilean Primera División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Universidad de Chile at 69%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25G. CastellónG
- 3I. LichnovskyD
- 22M. ZaldiviaD
- 5N. RamírezD
- 17F. HormazábalM
- 20C. AránguizM
- 29L. BarreraM
- 28A. ArceM
- 14M. MoralesM
- 9O. RiveroF
- 11E. VargasF
- 19J. AltamiranoM
- 21M. DíazM
- 6N. FernándezD
- 18J. LuceroF
- 8I. PobleteM
- 15T. ReinhartM
- 32G. AñasgoM
- 1C. ToselliG
- 23I. VásquezF
- 12J. SantanderG
- 23G. PachecoD
- 16F. BechtholdtD
- 18C. MorenoD
- 20J. TiznadoD
- 15A. CastilloD
- 11J. BreaM
- 22A. AstudilloM
- 38F. VillagránM
- 39L. MoralesM
- 8S. PinoF
- 14R. HuertaF
- 27Milan RokiM
- 4R. SandovalD
- 13Benjamin ValenzuelaM
- 7C. YanisF
- 37Martin EspinozaF
- 31D. LeytonM
- 36M. OlguinG
- 43V. CamposD
Form going into Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
Primera División
- L0-1away to Universidad Catolica1 November 2026
- W4-1Everton de Vina26 October 2026
- W6-0Nublense12 October 2026
- W3-0away to Deportes La Serena13 September 2026
Cobresal
Primera División
- D2-2Everton de Vina1 November 2026
- D1-1away to O'Higgins24 October 2026
- D1-1Universidad de Concepcion10 October 2026
- W3-2Coquimbo Unido12 September 2026
What these results say
- Universidad de Chile won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Universidad de Chile scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Universidad de Chile had three goals or more.
- Cobresal went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Cobresal scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Cobresal conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Chile Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47 | 22 | +25 | 51 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal
- 17 May 2026Cobresal 1–0 Universidad de ChilePrimera División
- 4 August 2025Universidad de Chile 0–1 CobresalPrimera División
- 2 March 2025Cobresal 2–1 Universidad de ChilePrimera División
- 21 July 2024Cobresal 3–3 Universidad de ChilePrimera División
- 25 March 2024Universidad de Chile 2–2 CobresalPrimera División
- 3 December 2023Cobresal 4–3 Universidad de ChilePrimera División
Leading scorers: Universidad de Chile and Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
GoalsAssists
- E. Vargas123
- A. Arce74
Cobresal
GoalsAssists
- S. Pino81
- J. Brea71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Universidad de Chile beat Cobresal 2–1. The model had made a win for Universidad de Chile its most likely outcome, at 69%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Stefan Pino (own goal) 14' for Universidad de Chile, Igor Lichnovsky 89' for Universidad de Chile, Benjamín Valenzuela 90+2' for Cobresal. On expected goals it finished 2.30–1.28.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Cobresal a 74.9% chance to finish in the bottom three: 45.9% after a win, 68.4% after a draw, 79.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 79.9%, 5 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Primera División season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Universidad de Chile v Cobresal has moved
First published on 25 Oct at 67% / 20% / 13% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 69% / 18% / 13%: the biggest move is Universidad de Chile's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Universidad de Chile win69%▲ +2
- Draw18%▼ −2
- Cobresal win13%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.