Watford vs West Ham Championship prediction & result
Final score: Watford 1-1 West Ham.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Watford, 26% draw, 45% West Ham — fair odds of 3.45, 3.85 and 2.22.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
West Ham at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Watford vs West Ham
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
Form going into Watford vs West Ham
Watford
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Wrexham22 August 2026
- W2-1Southampton16 August 2026
West Ham
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Charlton22 August 2026
- D2-2away to Burnley16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Watford | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 9 | West Ham | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Watford vs West Ham
- 8 February 2022West Ham 1–0 WatfordPremier League
- 28 December 2021Watford 1–4 West HamPremier League
- 17 July 2020West Ham 3–1 WatfordPremier League
- 24 August 2019Watford 1–3 West HamPremier League
- 12 May 2019Watford 1–4 West HamPremier League
Leading scorers: Watford and West Ham
Watford
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
West Ham
GoalsAssists
- J. Bowen77
- K. Mavropanos50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Watford and West Ham drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for West Ham at 45% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Amin Nabizada 19' for Watford, Matthew Pollock (own goal) 27' for West Ham. On expected goals it finished 1.30–0.73.