Watford vs West Ham Championship prediction & result
Final score: Watford 1-1 West Ham.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Watford, 26% draw, 45% West Ham — fair odds of 3.45, 3.85 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts West Ham at 45% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Watford vs West Ham
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
Form going into Watford vs West Ham
Watford
- D1-1away to Wrexham22 August 2026
- W2-1Southampton16 August 2026
West Ham
- L1-2Charlton22 August 2026
- D2-2away to Burnley16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 1 | West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Watford vs West Ham
- 29 August 2026Watford 1–1 West HamChampionship
- 8 February 2022West Ham 1–0 WatfordPremier League
- 28 December 2021Watford 1–4 West HamPremier League
- 17 July 2020West Ham 3–1 WatfordPremier League
- 24 August 2019Watford 1–3 West HamPremier League
- 12 May 2019Watford 1–4 West HamPremier League
Leading scorers: Watford and West Ham
Watford
- Amin Nabizada3 goals
West Ham
- J. Bowen4 goals3 assists
- J. Piroe3 goals
- K. Mavropanos3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.