Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Werder Bremen 3-2 FC Augsburg.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Werder Bremen, 28% draw, 33% FC Augsburg — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Werder Bremen at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg
Line-ups
- 1K. HeinG
- 5A. PieperD
- 32M. FriedlD
- 2O. DemanD
- 13ArthurM
- 15L. ReisM
- 44Y. RegeerM
- 17M. GrüllM
- 20Chuky San JoséF
- 10N. FüllkrugF
- 18E. DinkçiF
- 38P. ErevbenagieF
- 26C. IttenF
- 29Salim Amani MusahF
- 30A. SchlagerG
- 23Dariusz StalmachM
- 4N. StarkD
- 8M. WeiserD
- 3O. WójcikD
- 33Mick SchmetgensD
- 1F. DahmenG
- 40Noahkai Kai Daniel BanksD
- 5C. MatsimaD
- 2C. BrackelmannD
- 27M. WolfM
- 4H. MassengoM
- 32F. RiederM
- 16Hennes BehrensM
- 19R. FellhauerM
- 10M. KömürM
- 11M. GregoritschF
- 35Abdulay BahD
- 20A. Claude-MauriceM
- 6J. GouweleeuwD
- 21A. IbrahimovićM
- 14Y. KeitelM
- 22N. LabrovićG
- 39U. OgunduF
- 9Rodrigo RibeiroF
- 7Seol Young-WooD
Form going into Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to 1. FC Köln12 September 2026
- W3-1RB Leipzig5 September 2026
- L1-4away to SC Freiburg30 August 2026
FC Augsburg
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Bayer Leverkusen12 September 2026
- W4-1away to Eintracht Frankfurt6 September 2026
- W3-0FC Schalke 0430 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg
- 2 May 2026Werder Bremen 1–3 FC AugsburgBundesliga
- 20 December 2025FC Augsburg 0–0 Werder BremenBundesliga
- 19 January 2025Werder Bremen 0–2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
- 24 August 2024FC Augsburg 2–2 Werder BremenBundesliga
- 27 April 2024FC Augsburg 0–3 Werder BremenBundesliga
Leading scorers: Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen
GoalsAssists
- N. Füllkrug90
FC Augsburg
GoalsAssists
- M. Gregoritsch50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Werder Bremen beat FC Augsburg 3–2. The model had made a win for Werder Bremen its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Robin Fellhauer 18' for FC Augsburg, Calvin Marc Brackelmann 58' for FC Augsburg, Marco Grüll 66' for Werder Bremen, Niclas Füllkrug 86' for Werder Bremen, Mitchell Weiser 90+3' for Werder Bremen.