7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC

West Brom vs Millwall Championship prediction & result

The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Referee: Thomas Bramall
Full time3 – 0

Final score: West Brom 3-0 Millwall.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% West Brom, 29% draw, 29% Millwall — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

West Brom at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

West Brom99%Draw1%Millwall0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

43'
Derek Mazou Sacko
45'
🔁Derek Mazou Sackoout: Mark Sykes
⚽Isaac Priceassist: Jayson Molumby
50'
Brayann Pereira
52'
54'
🔁Josh Coburnout: Lyndon Dykes
64'
Zak Sturge
🔁J. Morganout: Felix Horn Myhre
64'
🔁Aune Heggeboout: Barney Stewart
65'
71'
🔁Kyrell Lisbieout: Alfie Doughty
71'
🔁Luke Cundleout: Romain Esse
🔁Rabby Nzingoulaout: Kareem Tunde
75'
⚽Jayson Molumby
78'
80'
🔁Jordi Osei-Tutuout: Taïryk Arconte
⚽Felix Horn Myhreassist: Isaac Price
89'
🔁Brayann Pereiraout: Conor Townsend
90'
🔁Jayson Molumbyout: Matthew Crowther
90'

Match stats — West Brom vs Millwall

63%Possession37%
18Shots6
6On target2
7Corners4
3.02xG0.64

Goals against chances

West Brom3 from 3.02 xGabout what the chances were worth
Millwall0 from 0.64 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

West Brom 4-4-2
  • 1M. O’LearyG
  • 18B. PereiraD
  • 2C. MephamD
  • 3N. PhillipsD
  • 4C. StylesD
  • 20R. NzingoulaM
  • 8J. MolumbyM
  • 17O. DiakitéM
  • 21I. PriceM
  • 19A. HeggebøF
  • 11J. MorganF
Substitutes
  • 29Harry WhitwellM
  • 26K. TundeF
  • 22C. TownsendD
  • 9B. StewartF
  • 7F. MyhreM
  • 13M. IngramG
  • 23T. BanyF
  • 31A. MaughanD
  • 35M. CrowtherM
Coach: J. Morrison
Millwall 4-2-3-1
  • 15M. CrocombeG
  • 2J. Osei-TutuD
  • 6C. TaylorD
  • 5J. CooperD
  • 3Zak Norton SturgeD
  • 14Jenson MetcalfeM
  • 49D. Mazou-SackoM
  • 10C. NeghliM
  • 25L. CundleM
  • 22K. LisbieM
  • 19J. CoburnF
Substitutes
  • 17M. SykesM
  • 16D. KellyM
  • 9M. IvanovićF
  • 11R. EsseM
  • 13L. DykesF
  • 45A. DoughtyM
  • 12E. BaggottD
  • 7T. ArconteF
  • 41G. EvansG
Coach: A. Neil

Form going into West Brom vs Millwall

West Brom

Championship

  • D1-1Southampton3 November 2026
  • W3-1away to West Ham31 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Preston24 October 2026
  • W3-2Blackburn17 October 2026

Millwall

Championship

  • L0-3away to Birmingham3 November 2026
  • W4-1Derby31 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Portsmouth24 October 2026
  • D2-2Lincoln17 October 2026

What these results say

  • West Brom went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • West Brom scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • West Brom conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Millwall conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Millwall had three goals or more.
  • Millwall failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5West Brom158432315+828
16Millwall155372327-418

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: West Brom vs Millwall

  • 10 April 2026West Brom 0–0 MillwallChampionship
  • 4 October 2025Millwall 3–0 West BromChampionship
  • 15 February 2025Millwall 1–1 West BromChampionship
  • 5 October 2024West Brom 0–0 MillwallChampionship
  • 29 March 2024Millwall 1–1 West BromChampionship
  • 23 September 2023West Brom 0–0 MillwallChampionship

The full West Brom vs Millwall record →

Leading scorers: West Brom and Millwall

West Brom

GoalsAssists

  • I. Price63
  • J. Morgan54

Millwall

No player in Championship's leading scorers — 23 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

West Brom beat Millwall 3–0. The model had made a win for West Brom its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Isaac Price 50' for West Brom, Jayson Molumby 78' for West Brom, Felix Horn Myhre 89' for West Brom. On expected goals it finished 3.02–0.64.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave West Brom a 7.9% chance to finish in the top two: 9.1% after a win, 6.1% after a draw, 6.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 9.1%, 1.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Championship season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on West Brom v Millwall has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 38% / 30% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 42% / 29% / 29%: the biggest move is West Brom's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. West Brom win42%▲ +4
  2. Draw29%▼ −1
  3. Millwall win29%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.