7 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Wisla Krakow 2-1 Wisla Plock.

Before kick-off the model made it 74% Wisla Krakow, 13% draw, 13% Wisla Plock — fair odds of 1.35, 7.69 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Wisla Krakow at 74% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Wisla Krakow96%Draw4%Wisla Plock0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. Rodado
14'
28'
⚽S. Hamulicassist: D. Pacheco
34'
Marcus Haglind Sangre
⚽J. Sanchezassist: A. Uryga
36'
46'
🔁M. Flisout: M. Karamarko
56'
🔁J. Jimenezout: J. Prsir
60'
🔁D. Pachecoout: K. Savvidis
60'
🔁P. Kunout: D. Gallapeni
🔁M. Bozicout: M. Kuziemka
63'
70'
🔁O. Kobackiout: G. Kuchko
🔁A. Rodadoout: J. Igbekeme
73'
🔁F. Duarteout: R. Mikulec
74'
Alan Uryga
81'
88'
Jurica Pršir
🔁K. Dudaout: E. Omic
89'

Match stats — Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock

49%Possession51%
12Shots22
4On target7
4Corners10
1.78xG1.51

Goals against chances

Wisla Krakow2 from 1.78 xGabout what the chances were worth
Wisla Plock1 from 1.51 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Wisla Krakow 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. LubikG
  • 2J. LelieveldD
  • 6A. UrygaD
  • 13M. MaisonneuveD
  • 52J. KrzyzanowskiD
  • 7J. ErtlthalerM
  • 41K. DudaM
  • 10F. DuarteM
  • 9A. RodadoM
  • 17M. BozicM
  • 11J. SanchezF
Substitutes
  • 28P. LetkiewiczG
  • 21J. GuillemenotF
  • 97W. BiedrzyckiD
  • 4R. MikulecD
  • 12J. IgbekemeM
  • 20E. OmicM
  • 51M. KuziemkaM
  • 29D. GrujcicD
  • 27E. YouanF
Coach: Mariusz Jop
Wisla Plock 3-4-3
  • 12R. LeszczynskiG
  • 4M. Haglind-SangreD
  • 35M. KaminskiD
  • 3M. FlisD
  • 21Z. RogeljM
  • 17A. RadwanskiM
  • 8D. PachecoM
  • 23P. KunM
  • 11J. JimenezF
  • 10S. HamulicF
  • 7O. KobackiF
Substitutes
  • 26J. BurekG
  • 82S. WadasG
  • 20L. SekulskiF
  • 99D. JuricF
  • 18J. PrsirM
  • 6K. PomorskiM
  • 88K. SavvidisM
  • 16F. HiszpanskiM
  • 5M. KaramarkoD
Coach: Adam Majewski

Form going into Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock

Wisla Krakow

  • L3-4away to Piast Gliwice1 August 2026
  • W2-1GKS Katowice26 July 2026

Wisla Plock

  • D0-0Widzew Łódź31 July 2026
  • W2-1away to Raków Częstochowa26 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Wisla Krakow84221511+414
13Wisla Plock7223712-58

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock

  • 7 August 2026Wisla Krakow 2–1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
  • 2 May 2025Wisla Krakow 1–3 Wisla PlockI Liga
  • 27 October 2024Wisla Plock 1–3 Wisla KrakowI Liga
  • 13 April 2024Wisla Plock 1–1 Wisla KrakowI Liga
  • 1 October 2023Wisla Krakow 0–0 Wisla PlockI Liga
  • 14 January 2023Wisla Plock 1–5 Wisla KrakowFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Wisla Krakow and Wisla Plock

Wisla Krakow

  • Jordi Sánchez6 goals1 assists
  • Ángel Rodado3 goals1 assists

Wisla Plock

No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.