FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% FC Augsburg, 27% draw, 24% FC Schalke 04 — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
FC Augsburg at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Finn DahmenG
- 40Noahkai BanksD
- 5Chrislain MatsimaD
- 2Calvin BrackelmannD
- 27Marius WolfM
- 4Han-Noah MassengoM
- 32Fabian RiederM
- 16Hennes BehrensM
- 30Anton KadeF
- 19Robin FellhauerF
- 11Michael GregoritschF
- 10Mert KömürM
- 14Yannik KeitelM
- 9Rodrigo RibeiroF
- 7Young-woo SeolD
- 6Jeffrey GouweleeuwD
- 22Nediljko LabrovićG
- 37Tim SchnitzerM
- 34Nathanaël MbukuF
- 39Uchenna OgunduF
- 1Loris KariusG
- 5Timo BeckerD
- 25Nikola KatićD
- 4Hasan KuruçayD
- 21Dejan LjubičićM
- 23Soufiane El-FaouziM
- 6Ron SchallenbergM
- 33Vitalie BeckerM
- 20Junior AdamuF
- 24Adil AouchicheF
- 9Moussa SyllaF
- 39Maximilian WöberD
- 8Robin GosensD
- 29Eric EbimbeM
- 10Edin DžekoF
- 43Mertcan AyhanD
- 22Kevin MüllerG
- 38Luca VozarM
- 13Satoshi TanakaM
- 14Janik BachmannM
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04
- 29 October 2024FC Augsburg 3–0 FC Schalke 04DFB Pokal
- 18 March 2023FC Augsburg 1–1 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
- 2 October 2022FC Schalke 04 2–3 FC AugsburgBundesliga
- 17 July 2022FC Augsburg 1–1 FC Schalke 04Friendlies Clubs
- 11 April 2021FC Schalke 04 1–0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Leading scorers: FC Augsburg and FC Schalke 04
FC Augsburg
GoalsAssists
- M. Gregoritsch50
FC Schalke 04
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Augsburg beat FC Schalke 04 3–0. The model had made a win for FC Augsburg its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Gregoritsch 18' for FC Augsburg, A. Kade 79' for FC Augsburg, R. Ribeiro 90+2' for FC Augsburg. Sent off: R. Schallenberg (FC Schalke 04) 62'. On expected goals it finished 3.52–1.54.