Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Slask Wroclaw.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% Zaglebie Lubin, 21% draw, 23% Slask Wroclaw — fair odds of 1.79, 4.76 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zaglebie Lubin at 56% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33Z. Alomerovic
- 31I. Orlikowski
- 25M. Nalepa
- 5A. Lawniczak
- 13M. Grzybek
- 8D. Dabrowski
- 39F. Kocaba
- 37S. Kerk
- 16J. Corluka
- 44M. Regula
- 18F. Szymczak
- 1J. Buric
- 26J. Kolan
- 4D. Michalski
- 38S. Karasinski
- 94M. Urbanski
- 7J. Sypek
- 88M. Mlinaric
- 20M. Dziewiatowski
- 71K. Nowogonski
- 1K. Niemczycki
- 21A. Timossi
- 33Y. Matsenko
- 44M. Malec
- 3I. Christodoulou
- 8M. Llinares
- 7P. Samiec-Talar
- 15J. Yriarte
- 20G. Tomasiewicz
- 19P. Banaszak
- 10P. M. Dembele
- 25M. Szromnik
- 31H. Sliczniak
- 2D. Szala
- 26A. Zulewski
- 4M. Dijakovic
- 27M. Rosiak
- 38D. Markowski
- 11L. Marjanac
- 23M. Stangret
Form going into Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw
Zaglebie Lubin
- L1-3away to Legia Warszawa2 August 2026
- W2-0Piast Gliwice27 July 2026
Slask Wroclaw
- D0-0Cracovia Krakow9 August 2026
- W2-1Raków Częstochowa2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Gornik Zabrze25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zaglebie Lubin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw
- 15 August 2026Zaglebie Lubin 2–1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 31 January 2026Slask Wroclaw 2–2 Zaglebie LubinFriendlies Clubs
- 3 May 2025Slask Wroclaw 3–1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 4 November 2024Zaglebie Lubin 3–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 15 December 2023Zaglebie Lubin 1–2 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 29 July 2023Slask Wroclaw 1–2 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Zaglebie Lubin and Slask Wroclaw
Zaglebie Lubin
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Slask Wroclaw
- P. Samiec-Talar4 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.