Safa Baku sit 11th in the Premyer Liqa on 5 points from 11 matches, having scored 8 and conceded 20. On the model's scale they rate 0.46 in attack and 2.00 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Premyer Liqa averages of 0.63 and 1.58: below the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 draws and 3 defeats, most recently drawing with Araz 2-2 at home. That is 0.45 points a match, scoring 0.73 and conceding 1.82 per game across 1 win, 2 draws and 8 defeats. That leaves them 19 points behind Neftchi Baku at the top, in a table of 12. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 9th-best attack and the 11th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host Qabala in the Premyer Liqa on 21 November 2026, a match the model gives them 41%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Premyer Liqa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26:11 | +15 | DDDWW | 24 |
| 2 | Turan | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | WLDWW | 21 |
| 3 | Sabah FA | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:6 | +16 | DWDLD | 21 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | WDDDL | 19 |
| 5 | Zira | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:15 | +1 | DDWDW | 19 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | WDWWL | 17 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | DWLLD | 14 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | LWWLD | 11 |
| 9 | Sumqayıt | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | WWLDD | 10 |
| 10 | Qabala | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:18 | -12 | LLWDL | 8 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | LLLDD | 5 |
| 12 | Araz | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | LLLDD | 4 |
- Champions League qualifying
- Conference League qualifying
- Relegation
Safa Baku sit 11 of 12, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D2-2Araz7 November 2026
- D1-1away to Sumqayıt2 November 2026
- L1-2Kapaz24 October 2026
- L2-3away to Şamaxı FK16 October 2026
- L0-1Turan11 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Safa Baku vs Qabala
Safa Baku host Qabala at ASK Arena, Baku on 21 November 2026, 13:00 UTC. The model makes it 41% Safa Baku, 29% draw and 30% Qabala, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.35 expected goals for Safa Baku against 1.06. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Full preview and model analysis for Safa Baku vs Qabala
Recent meetings with Qabala
- 22 August 2026Qabala 0–1 Safa BakuPremyer Liqa
- 4 December 2025Qabala 2–1 Safa BakuCup
The last 2 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Safa Baku
-
Araz v Neftchi Baku · 22 November 2026
Safa Baku fans want Neftchi Baku to win: that leaves Safa Baku's risk of a bottom-two finish at 62.6%, against 68.1% if Araz win (63.8% today).
Araz win68.1%+4.3Draw64.9%+1.1Neftchi Baku win62.6%−1.2 -
Qarabag v Sumqayıt · 28 November 2026
Safa Baku fans want a draw: that leaves Safa Baku's risk of a bottom-two finish at 63.1%, against 68.0% if Sumqayıt win (63.8% today).
Qarabag win63.5%−0.3Draw63.1%−0.7Sumqayıt win68.0%+4.2 -
Kapaz v Qarabag · 22 November 2026
Safa Baku fans want a draw: that leaves Safa Baku's risk of a bottom-two finish at 62.6%, against 66.2% if Kapaz win (63.8% today).
Kapaz win66.2%+2.4Draw62.6%−1.2Qarabag win63.3%−0.5
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Safa Baku's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.