Neftchi Baku sit 1st in the Premyer Liqa on 24 points from 11 matches, having scored 26 and conceded 11. On the model's scale they rate 0.93 in attack and 1.36 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Premyer Liqa averages of 0.63 and 1.58: above the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins and 3 draws, most recently beating Kapaz 1-0 at home. That is 2.18 points a match, scoring 2.36 and conceding 1.00 per game across 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. They lead the 12-team table, 3 points clear of Turan. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 2nd-best attack and the 4th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they travel to Araz in the Premyer Liqa on 22 November 2026, a match the model gives them 59%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Premyer Liqa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26:11 | +15 | DDDWW | 24 |
| 2 | Turan | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | WLDWW | 21 |
| 3 | Sabah FA | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:6 | +16 | DWDLD | 21 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | WDDDL | 19 |
| 5 | Zira | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:15 | +1 | DDWDW | 19 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | WDWWL | 17 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | DWLLD | 14 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | LWWLD | 11 |
| 9 | Sumqayıt | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | WWLDD | 10 |
| 10 | Qabala | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:18 | -12 | LLWDL | 8 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | LLLDD | 5 |
| 12 | Araz | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | LLLDD | 4 |
- Champions League qualifying
- Conference League qualifying
- Relegation
Neftchi Baku sit 1 of 12, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W1-0Kapaz6 November 2026
- W3-2away to Şamaxı FK1 November 2026
- D1-1Turan24 October 2026
- D3-3away to Qarabag17 October 2026
- D0-0Sabah FA9 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Neftchi Baku vs Araz
Neftchi Baku travel to Araz on 22 November 2026, 10:30 UTC. The model makes it 59% Neftchi Baku, 21% draw and 20% Araz, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 2.50 expected goals for Neftchi Baku against 1.28. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Full preview and model analysis for Neftchi Baku vs Araz
Recent meetings with Araz
- 23 August 2026Neftchi Baku 5–0 ArazPremyer Liqa
- 11 April 2026Neftchi Baku 2–1 ArazPremyer Liqa
- 1 February 2026Araz 0–4 Neftchi BakuPremyer Liqa
- 19 October 2025Neftchi Baku 2–2 ArazPremyer Liqa
- 29 March 2025Neftchi Baku 1–1 ArazPremyer Liqa
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Neftchi Baku
-
Sabah FA v Araz · 28 November 2026
Neftchi Baku fans want Araz to win: that leaves Neftchi Baku's chance to finish top of the regular season at 31.9%, against 23.3% if Sabah FA win (23.9% today).
Sabah FA win23.3%−0.6Draw28.0%+4.1Araz win31.9%+8.0 -
Sumqayıt v Sabah FA · 20 November 2026
Neftchi Baku fans want Sumqayıt to win: that leaves Neftchi Baku's chance to finish top of the regular season at 29.2%, against 22.4% if Sabah FA win (23.9% today).
Sumqayıt win29.2%+5.3Draw25.6%+1.7Sabah FA win22.4%−1.5 -
Turan v Kapaz · 28 November 2026
Neftchi Baku fans want Kapaz to win: that leaves Neftchi Baku's chance to finish top of the regular season at 25.9%, against 23.2% after a draw (23.9% today).
Turan win24.1%+0.2Draw23.2%−0.7Kapaz win25.9%+2.0
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Neftchi Baku's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.