Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Atletico Tucuman 1-2 Argentinos Juniors.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Atletico Tucuman, 34% draw, 36% Argentinos Juniors — fair odds of 3.33, 2.94 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Argentinos Juniors at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1L. IngolottiG
- 24L. Di PlácidoD
- 26C. FerreiraD
- 36Luciano VallejoD
- 32J. InfanteD
- 5J. FernándezM
- 11R. TesuriM
- 31L. GodoyM
- 10F. NicolaM
- 23N. LaméndolaM
- 9L. DíazF
- 14A. CaneloF
- 30M. BrondoF
- 34Mauro CarrizoM
- 28G. CompagnucciD
- 25T. DursoG
- 6G. FerrariD
- 27R. GranilloF
- 8E. HamM
- 2Ramiro PauneroD
- 25B. CortésG
- 17F. ParedesD
- 16F. ÁlvarezD
- 4É. GodoyD
- 20S. PrietoD
- 5Facundo CarrizoM
- 15K. GutiérrezM
- 11N. OrozM
- 7D. PorcelF
- 9G. VerónF
- 19M. GiménezF
- 26C. BravoD
- 22K. CoronelD
- 10G. FlorentínM
- 28J. GhoM
- 13Santino GianiniD
- 32G. InfantinoM
- 48F. JainikoskiF
- 8H. LópezM
- 23M. MendozaD
Form going into Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors
Atletico Tucuman
Liga Profesional Argentina
- W1-0away to Tigre24 October 2026
- L2-3Rosario Central17 October 2026
- D1-1away to Gimnasia La Plata9 October 2026
Argentinos Juniors
Liga Profesional Argentina
- W1-0Independiente Rivadavia27 October 2026
- W1-0away to Banfield17 October 2026
- D1-1away to Platense11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Argentinos Juniors vs Atletico Tucuman
Argentinos Juniors and Atletico Tucuman have met 7 times in the records we hold, Argentinos Juniors has won 3 of them to Atletico Tucuman's 1, with 3 drawn.
The record
Argentinos Juniors won the last one 2–1 on 3 Nov 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentinos Juniors | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 |
| Atletico Tucuman | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 14 goals, an average of 2.00 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 3 Nov 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaAtletico Tucuman 1–2 Argentinos Juniors - 19 Apr 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentinos Juniors 1–0 Atletico Tucuman - 30 Sep 2024
Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentinos Juniors 0–0 Atletico Tucuman - 7 Feb 2024
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalAtletico Tucuman 0–0 Argentinos Juniors - 3 Sep 2023
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalArgentinos Juniors 2–2 Atletico Tucuman - 13 May 2023
Liga Profesional ArgentinaAtletico Tucuman 1–2 Argentinos Juniors - 20 Sep 2022
Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentinos Juniors 1–2 Atletico Tucuman
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Argentinos Juniors' attack rates 11% above Atletico Tucuman's, and Argentinos Juniors concede 25% fewer than Atletico Tucuman. That gives Argentinos Juniors the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Argentinos Juniors | 0.83 | 1.01 |
| Atletico Tucuman | 0.75 | 1.34 |
The result against the call
Argentinos Juniors won 2–1 at Atletico Tucuman. The model had made a win for Argentinos Juniors its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Matías Giménez 30' for Argentinos Juniors, Clever Domingo Ferreira Ñamandu (own goal) 43' for Argentinos Juniors, Pedro Alexis Canelo (penalty) 86' for Atletico Tucuman. Sent off: Luciano Vallejo (Atletico Tucuman) 90+1'. On expected goals it finished 1.19–0.35.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Atletico Tucuman a 24.5% chance to finish in the top eight: 53.4% after a win, 18.2% after a draw, 6.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 6.6%, 17.9 points lower than before the match.
For Argentinos Juniors the question was the chance to finish top of the Clausura Group A: 17.0% after a win, 5.1% after a draw, under 1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure about where it was, at 17.0%.
Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Atletico Tucuman v Argentinos Juniors has moved
First published on 20 Oct at 29% / 33% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 30% / 34% / 36%: the biggest move is Argentinos Juniors's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Atletico Tucuman win30%▲ +1
- Draw34%▲ +1
- Argentinos Juniors win36%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.