3 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Sirius vs Halmstad Allsvenskan prediction & result

Studenternas IP, Uppsala
Referee: Sars Joakim
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Sirius 2-0 Halmstad.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% Sirius, 19% draw, 13% Halmstad — fair odds of 1.47, 5.26 and 7.69.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sirius at 68%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sirius99%Draw1%Halmstad0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Isak Bjerkebo (pen)
22'
37'
Rami Kaib
⚽Joakim Perssonassist: Isak Bjerkebo
45'
58'
🔁Malte Perssonout: Ajdin Zeljkovic
🔁Zalán Vancsaout: N. Jönsson
67'
🔁Melker Heierout: Charlie Nildén
67'
73'
🔁Rami Kaibout: Marvin Illary
🔁Victor Svenssonout: Adam Vikman
79'
🔁Isak Bjerkeboout: Jesper Uneken
79'
84'
🔁Hussein Carneilout: Ludvig Arvidsson
🔁Oscar Krusnellout: Victor Ekstrom
86'
89'
Pascal Gregor

Match stats — Sirius vs Halmstad

59%Possession41%
12Shots10
4On target1
5Corners4
2.35xG0.36

Goals against chances

Sirius2 from 2.35 xGabout what the chances were worth
Halmstad0 from 0.36 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sirius 4-2-3-1
  • 34D. CelicG
  • 5H. CastegrenD
  • 15S. SandbergD
  • 4T. AnkerD
  • 22O. KrusnellD
  • 10M. HeierM
  • 6M. LindbergM
  • 7J. PerssonM
  • 24V. SvenssonM
  • 30Z. VancsaM
  • 11I. BjerkeboF
Substitutes
  • 29Ake AnderssonF
  • 1I. DiawaraG
  • 20V. EkströmD
  • 17N. JönssonF
  • 27B. MagnussonD
  • 21C. NildénM
  • 9J. UnekenF
  • 18A. WikmanM
  • 25O. AdinduF
Coach: Andreas Engelmark
Halmstad 5-3-2
  • 1T. RönningG
  • 22Oliver KapsimalisD
  • 17A. BomanD
  • 5P. GregorD
  • 3G. WallentinD
  • 24R. KaibD
  • 6J. AllanssonM
  • 28T. TrybullM
  • 27R. AsconeM
  • 18Malte PerssonF
  • 14H. CarneilF
Substitutes
  • 23A. ZeljkovicF
  • 35A. WihedG
  • 16E. TõugjasD
  • 4F. SchybergD
  • 8N. MäenpääM
  • 19M. IllaryM
  • 9O. FarajF
  • 25A. Damnjanovic NilssonM
  • 11L. ArvidssonF
Coach: S. Baxter

Form going into Sirius vs Halmstad

Sirius

Allsvenskan

  • L0-2away to Hammarby FF29 October 2026
  • L1-2AIK Stockholm24 October 2026
  • D2-2IF Elfsborg18 October 2026

Halmstad

Allsvenskan

  • L0-3Malmo FF28 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Vasteras SK FK23 October 2026
  • L0-1Hammarby FF18 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Sirius2818465835+2358
16Halmstad2855182052-3220

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sirius vs Halmstad

  • 3 August 2026Halmstad 0–2 SiriusAllsvenskan
  • 9 August 2025Halmstad 0–1 SiriusAllsvenskan
  • 27 April 2025Sirius 1–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 19 October 2024Halmstad 3–1 SiriusAllsvenskan
  • 1 April 2024Sirius 3–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 2 September 2023Halmstad 2–1 SiriusAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Sirius and Halmstad

Sirius

GoalsAssists

  • I. Bjerkebo157
  • R. Ure152

Halmstad

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sirius beat Halmstad 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Sirius at 68%. The goals: Isak Bjerkebo (penalty) 22' for Sirius, Joakim Persson 45' for Sirius. On expected goals it finished 2.35–0.36.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sirius a 55.6% chance to finish top of the regular season: 61.5% after a win, 41.6% after a draw, 25.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 61.5%, 5.9 points higher than before the match.

For Halmstad the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 96.3% going in: 85.0% after a win, 95.5% after a draw, 98.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 98.0%, 1.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Allsvenskan season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Sirius v Halmstad has moved

First published on 20 Oct at 70% / 19% / 11% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 68% / 19% / 13%: the biggest move is Sirius's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Sirius win68%▼ −2
  2. Draw19%=
  3. Halmstad win13%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.