Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Independiente Rivadavia 3-1 Banfield.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Independiente Rivadavia, 27% draw, 26% Banfield — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Independiente Rivadavia at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30Nicolás BolcatoG
- 13A. OsellaD
- 40I. VillalbaD
- 2L. CostaD
- 3J. ElordiD
- 5T. BottariM
- 11G. RíosM
- 25J. FlorentínM
- 8L. BuccaM
- 9A. ArceF
- 43F. SartoriF
- 36E. BonifacioD
- 27D. CregoM
- 23L. DíazF
- 10M. FernándezM
- 21Emmanuel GómezG
- 34S. MoreyraM
- 7V. RamisF
- 80M. RealiF
- 77L. SequeiraM
- 50D. RodríguezG
- 4J. AlfaroD
- 2S. DanieleD
- 6N. MerianoD
- 27I. AbrahamD
- 10L. GómezM
- 5Santiago EsquivelM
- 20T. AdoryánM
- 18Federico MedinaF
- 9A. BalboaF
- 40D. ZalazarF
- 19L. CanoD
- 30F. AnselmoF
- 24S. LópezM
- 22A. MachadoF
- 37R. MalancaD
- 13Brandon OviedoD
- 35I. PaisM
- 3N. PazD
- 7Lisandro PiñeroF
Form going into Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield
Independiente Rivadavia
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L0-1away to Argentinos Juniors27 October 2026
- D2-2Tigre17 October 2026
- L0-5away to Rosario Central11 October 2026
Banfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
- D1-1Lanus24 October 2026
- L0-1Argentinos Juniors17 October 2026
- W2-1away to Tigre10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Banfield vs Independiente Rivadavia
Banfield and Independiente Rivadavia have met 7 times in the records we hold, Banfield has won 4 of them to Independiente Rivadavia's 1, with 2 drawn.
The record
Independiente Rivadavia won the last one 3–1 on 3 Nov 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banfield | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 17 goals, an average of 2.43 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 3 Nov 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente Rivadavia 3–1 Banfield - 20 Apr 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaBanfield 0–0 Independiente Rivadavia - 18 Oct 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaIndependiente Rivadavia 1–2 Banfield - 11 Apr 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaBanfield 1–1 Independiente Rivadavia - 24 Sep 2024
Liga Profesional ArgentinaBanfield 2–0 Independiente Rivadavia - 30 May 2024
Copa ArgentinaIndependiente Rivadavia 1–2 Banfield - 1 Apr 2024
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalIndependiente Rivadavia 1–2 Banfield
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Independiente Rivadavia's attack rates 17% above Banfield's, and Independiente Rivadavia concede 6% fewer than Banfield. That gives Independiente Rivadavia the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Banfield | 0.81 | 1.57 |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 0.95 | 1.47 |
Leading scorers: Independiente Rivadavia and Banfield
Independiente Rivadavia
GoalsAssists
- J. Florentín91
- A. Arce91
- F. Sartori80
Banfield
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Independiente Rivadavia beat Banfield 3–1. The model had made a win for Independiente Rivadavia its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Santiago Daniele 9' for Banfield, Jose Ignacio Florentin 11' for Independiente Rivadavia, Jose Ignacio Florentin 15' for Independiente Rivadavia, Santiago Daniele (own goal) 45' for Independiente Rivadavia. On expected goals it finished 0.64–0.50.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Independiente Rivadavia these chances to finish in the top eight: 94.0% after a win, 56.0% after a draw, 29.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure about where it was, at 94.0%.
For Banfield the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 36.8% going in: 6.6% after a win, 24.5% after a draw, 53.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 53.7%, 16.9 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.