5 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Aldosivi vs River Plate Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Mar del Plata
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Aldosivi 0-2 River Plate.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Aldosivi, 30% draw, 45% River Plate — fair odds of 4.00, 3.33 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

River Plate at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Aldosivi0%Draw3%River Plate97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Agustín Palavecino
14'
Lucas Castro
16'
Santiago Moya
33'
58'
Santiago Joaquín Espíndola
•Santiago Moya
59'
66'
🔁Tomás Ezequiel Galvánout: Sebastián Driussi
Nicolás Gaitán
68'
Andres Vombergar
71'
Javier Esteban Sanguinetti
71'
73'
•Sebastián Driussi
76'
⚽Lucas Beltran (pen)
🔁Nicolás Gaitánout: Bautista Dadín
77'
81'
🔁Lucas Beltranout: Rafael Borré
81'
🔁Santiago Joaquín Espíndolaout: Lucas Silva
81'
🔁Marcos Acuñaout: Francisco Ortega
🔁Brian Cufreout: Federico Laurelli
86'
🔁Santiago Moyaout: Felipe Anso
86'
🔁Lucas Castroout: Elías López
86'
90+1'
⚽Ángel Correaassist: Francisco Ortega
90+4'
🔁Tobías Andradaout: Mauro Arambarri

Match stats — Aldosivi vs River Plate

32%Possession68%
2Shots23
0On target9
1Corners8
0.11xG2.77

Goals against chances

Aldosivi0 from 0.11 xGabout what the chances were worth
River Plate2 from 2.77 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Aldosivi 4-2-3-1
  • 42Lucas AcostaG
  • 28S. MoyaD
  • 25N. BreitenbruchD
  • 32J. PomboD
  • 13B. CufréD
  • 19L. CastroM
  • 8M. GarcíaM
  • 11B. PalavecinoM
  • 10N. GaitánM
  • 22A. SosaM
  • 29A. VombergarF
Substitutes
  • 24F. AnsoF
  • 23I. ChiccoG
  • 16B. DadínF
  • 34S. FilippiniD
  • 7N. GuzmánF
  • 17F. LaurelliD
  • 5N. LinaresM
  • 14E. LópezD
  • 15F. PerruzziM
Coach: J. Sanguinetti
River Plate 4-3-1-2
  • 41S. BeltránG
  • 20G. GonzálezD
  • 30N. OtamendiD
  • 13L. RiveroD
  • 21M. AcuñaD
  • 50T. AndradaM
  • 27Santiago Joaquín EspíndolaM
  • 26T. GalvánM
  • 23T. AlmadaM
  • 10Á. CorreaF
  • 18L. BeltránF
Substitutes
  • 19R. BorréF
  • 33E. CenturiónG
  • 9S. DriussiF
  • 47Felipe Gabriel EsquivelF
  • 31F. GonzálezD
  • 43V. LuceroM
  • 34Elias Carlos NuñezM
  • 3F. OrtegaD
  • 25L. PereyraF
Coach: Leonardo Ponzio

Form going into Aldosivi vs River Plate

Aldosivi

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • L1-2away to Racing Club31 October 2026
  • W1-0Belgrano Cordoba25 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto18 October 2026
  • L1-3Sarmiento Junin9 October 2026

River Plate

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • L0-1away to Boca Juniors1 November 2026
  • W1-0Racing Club25 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Belgrano Cordoba18 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Sarmiento Junin14 October 2026

What these results say

  • Aldosivi scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Aldosivi failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Aldosivi conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • River Plate scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for River Plate had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Aldosivi1632111626-1011
4River Plate168262114+726

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Aldosivi vs River Plate

  • 18 July 2026River Plate 1–3 AldosiviCopa Argentina
  • 26 April 2026River Plate 3–1 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 24 July 2022Aldosivi 0–3 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 27 August 2021River Plate 2–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 9 May 2021River Plate 4–1 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Aldosivi vs River Plate record →

Leading scorers: Aldosivi and River Plate

Aldosivi

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

River Plate

GoalsAssists

  • T. Galván74

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

River Plate won 2–0 at Aldosivi. The model had made a win for River Plate its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Lucas Beltran (penalty) 76' for River Plate, Ángel Correa 90+1' for River Plate. On expected goals it finished 0.11–2.77.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.