25 October 2026, 15:15 UTC

Celta Vigo vs Real Betis La Liga prediction & result

Vigo
Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Celta Vigo 0-0 Real Betis.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Celta Vigo, 28% draw, 36% Real Betis — fair odds of 2.78, 3.57 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published

Has the model earned this number?

Celta Vigo at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Celta Vigo4%Draw92%Real Betis4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Ilaix Moriba
30'
43'
Diego Llorente
🔁Hugo Alvarez Antunezout: Ferran Jutglà
57'
🔁Hugo Gonzálezout: Williot Swedberg
58'
61'
🔁Nelson Deossaout: Troy Parrott
61'
🔁Antony Matheus dos Santosout: Pablo Fornals
🔁Javier Rueda Garcíaout: Sergio Carreira Vilarino
68'
🔁Pablo Durán Fernándezout: Iago Aspas
68'
68'
🔁Diego Llorenteout: Marc Bartra
68'
🔁Iscoout: Giovani Lo Celso
75'
🔁Dani Ceballosout: Álvaro Fidalgo
Sergio Carreira Vilarino
80'
🔁Aleix Febasout: Hugo Burcio
81'

Match stats — Celta Vigo vs Real Betis

44%Possession56%
12Shots15
4On target2
3Corners4
0.92xG1.14

Goals against chances

Celta Vigo0 from 0.92 xGless than the chances were worth
Real Betis0 from 1.14 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Celta Vigo 3-4-3
  • 13I. RaduG
  • 20Javi RodríguezD
  • 18Yoel LagoD
  • 3Marcos AlonsoD
  • 17Javi RuedaM
  • 14Aleix FebasM
  • 6I. MoribaM
  • 22Javi GalánM
  • 16Hugo GonzálezF
  • 11Pablo DuránF
  • 23Hugo ÁlvarezF
Substitutes
  • 25Iván VillarG
  • 9Ferran JutglàF
  • 4A. FayeD
  • 24C. DriouechF
  • 5Sergio CarreiraD
  • 21S. CáceresD
  • 30H. BurcioM
  • 1A. BayındırG
  • 10Iago AspasF
Coach: Claudio Giráldez
Real Betis 4-2-3-1
  • 1Álvaro VallésG
  • 12Ángel OrtizD
  • 3Diego LlorenteD
  • 4NatanD
  • 16V. GómezD
  • 21Marc RocaM
  • 25Dani CeballosM
  • 7AntonyM
  • 22IscoM
  • 10A. EzzalzouliM
  • 18N. DeossaF
Substitutes
  • 5Marc BartraD
  • 2Héctor BellerínD
  • 13Diego CondeG
  • 15Álvaro FidalgoM
  • 8Pablo FornalsM
  • 11Fran GarcíaD
  • 31Manu GonzálezG
  • 20G. Lo CelsoM
  • 27J. A. MoranteF
Coach: M. Pellegrini

Form going into Celta Vigo vs Real Betis

Celta Vigo

La Liga

  • W2-1Alaves18 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Elche11 October 2026

Real Betis

La Liga

  • L2-5Barcelona17 October 2026
  • W5-2Osasuna11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Celta Vigo122731010013
4Real Betis128222015+526

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Celta Vigo vs Real Betis

Celta Vigo and Real Betis have met 7 times in the records we hold, Celta Vigo has won 2 of them to Real Betis's 1, with 4 drawn.

The record

They drew 0–0 at Celta Vigo on 25 Oct 2026.

ClubWDLGFGA
Celta Vigo241109
Real Betis142910

Between them these 7 meetings produced 19 goals, an average of 2.71 a game.

Every meeting

Every recorded meeting, newest first.

  • 25 Oct 2026
    La Liga    Celta Vigo 0–0 Real Betis
  • 15 Mar 2026
    La Liga    Real Betis 1–1 Celta Vigo
  • 27 Aug 2025
    La Liga    Celta Vigo 1–1 Real Betis
  • 8 Feb 2025
    La Liga    Celta Vigo 3–2 Real Betis
  • 10 Nov 2024
    La Liga    Real Betis 2–2 Celta Vigo
  • 12 Apr 2024
    La Liga    Real Betis 2–1 Celta Vigo
  • 3 Jan 2024
    La Liga    Celta Vigo 2–1 Real Betis

How the model rates them now

On the current ratings, Real Betis' attack rates 65% above Celta Vigo's, and the two defences are almost level. How the ratings are derived.

ClubAttackDefence
Celta Vigo0.770.83
Real Betis1.270.85

More head-to-heads on this week’s board →

The result against the call

Celta Vigo and Real Betis drew 0–0. On expected goals it finished 0.92–1.14.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Real Betis a 52.7% chance to finish in the top four: 57.8% after a win, 51.9% after a draw, 48.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 51.9%, 0.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our La Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Celta Vigo v Real Betis has moved

First published on 11 Oct at 33% / 30% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 36% / 28% / 36%: the biggest move is Celta Vigo's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Celta Vigo win36%▲ +3
  2. Draw28%▼ −2
  3. Real Betis win36%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.