Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Talleres Cordoba 1-2 Defensa Y Justicia.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Talleres Cordoba, 31% draw, 35% Defensa Y Justicia — fair odds of 2.94, 3.23 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Defensa Y Justicia at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 32E. UnsainG
- 20A. SchottD
- 4M. CatalánD
- 6R. RiquelmeD
- 3A. MaidanaD
- 8F. FattoriM
- 5M. GalarzaM
- 37RickM
- 10G. BaroniM
- 11V. DepietriM
- 9A. ÁlvarezF
- 23G. BáezD
- 1S. BarbiG
- 2T. ChamorroD
- 36E. ChiavassaF
- 26M. CaceresM
- 49V. DávilaF
- 13V. FascendiniD
- 44S. FernándezD
- 27J. GallardM
- 1M. BorgognoG
- 28V. LozaD
- 29D. FernándezD
- 21D. MartínezD
- 30D. DomínguezD
- 15S. SosaM
- 8C. PérezM
- 26J. LuccoM
- 19D. BarbonaM
- 24J. GutiérrezM
- 9L. FernándezF
- 27D. BlancoM
- 36L. AmadéG
- 6E. BurdinD
- 17A. HauschF
- 2E. LuceroD
- 5J. LópezM
- 10A. MolinasM
- 11Tiziano PerrotaF
- 22M. PorcelM
Form going into Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L1-2away to Boca Juniors17 October 2026
- D0-0Independiente12 October 2026
Defensa Y Justicia
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L0-1Instituto Cordoba16 October 2026
- W2-0away to Union Santa Fe10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Defensa Y Justicia vs Talleres Cordoba
Defensa Y Justicia and Talleres Cordoba have met 7 times in the records we hold, Defensa Y Justicia has won 3 of them to Talleres Cordoba's 2, with 2 drawn.
The record
Defensa Y Justicia won the last one 2–1 on 24 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensa Y Justicia | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 |
| Talleres Cordoba | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 20 goals, an average of 2.86 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 24 Oct 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaTalleres Cordoba 1–2 Defensa Y Justicia - 13 Apr 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaDefensa Y Justicia 1–2 Talleres Cordoba - 24 Jul 2024
Liga Profesional ArgentinaTalleres Cordoba 1–1 Defensa Y Justicia - 11 Mar 2023
Liga Profesional ArgentinaDefensa Y Justicia 1–1 Talleres Cordoba - 11 Sep 2022
Liga Profesional ArgentinaTalleres Cordoba 1–0 Defensa Y Justicia - 9 Apr 2022
Liga Profesional ArgentinaTalleres Cordoba 1–5 Defensa Y Justicia - 4 Oct 2021
Liga Profesional ArgentinaDefensa Y Justicia 3–0 Talleres Cordoba
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Defensa Y Justicia's attack rates 15% above Talleres Cordoba's, and Defensa Y Justicia concede 5% fewer than Talleres Cordoba. That gives Defensa Y Justicia the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Defensa Y Justicia | 0.86 | 1.23 |
| Talleres Cordoba | 0.75 | 1.30 |
The result against the call
Defensa Y Justicia won 2–1 at Talleres Cordoba. The model had made a win for Defensa Y Justicia its most likely outcome, at 35%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Agustin Alvarez Martínez 32' for Talleres Cordoba, Leandro Fernández 47' for Defensa Y Justicia, Juan Manuel Gutiérrez 88' for Defensa Y Justicia. On expected goals it finished 0.85–0.84.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Talleres Cordoba a 88.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 78.1% after a win, 93.0% after a draw, 97.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 97.3%, 8.5 points higher than before the match.
For Defensa Y Justicia the question was the chance to finish top of the Clausura Group A, 2.1% going in: 4.7% after a win, under 1% after a draw, under 1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 4.7%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.