30 August 2026, 11:30 UTC

1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Avnet-Arena, Magdeburg
Full time2 – 0

Final score: 1. FC Magdeburg 2-0 Holstein Kiel.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% 1. FC Magdeburg, 29% draw, 31% Holstein Kiel — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts 1. FC Magdeburg at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel

1. FC Magdeburg

  • W3-0away to VfL Osnabrück15 August 2026
  • L1-6Eintracht Braunschweig8 August 2026

Holstein Kiel

  • D2-2FC St. Pauli14 August 2026
  • D2-2away to SV Darmstadt 988 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
41. FC Magdeburg5302108+29
18Holstein Kiel503269-33

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel

  • 9 May 2026Holstein Kiel 1–3 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
  • 13 December 20251. FC Magdeburg 3–3 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
  • 2 February 2024FC Magdeburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
  • 1 November 2023Holstein Kiel 3–3 FC MagdeburgDFB Pokal
  • 20 August 2023Holstein Kiel 2–4 FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
  • 11 February 2023Holstein Kiel 2–3 FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: 1. FC Magdeburg and Holstein Kiel

1. FC Magdeburg

  • A. Nollenberger3 goals1 assists
  • E. Iyoha3 goals

Holstein Kiel

  • P. Harres3 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.