SV Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: SV Darmstadt 98 0-1 Hannover 96.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% SV Darmstadt 98, 29% draw, 31% Hannover 96 — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
SV Darmstadt 98 at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SV Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. SchuhenG
- 28C. LannertD
- 6P. PfeifferD
- 20A. VukoticD
- 18R. PetrettaD
- 16H. AkiyamaM
- 44Y. FurukawaM
- 10N. VerkooijenM
- 41L. DuijvestijnM
- 7N. WeisshauptM
- 36M. SmitF
- 30A. BrunstG
- 49Y. LuhrsD
- 4G. DettoniD
- 3F. KleinhanslD
- 22L. KehlM
- 23C. SickingerM
- 9Lee Ho-JaeF
- 11I. El KadiriF
- 48M. MerxF
- 30L. WeinkaufG
- 17B. AllgeierD
- 3B. TomiakD
- 20I. OkonD
- 33M. NeubauerM
- 13F. RoggowM
- 10M. HartelM
- 29K. OudenneM
- 8W. TaibiF
- 11B. PichlerF
- 25L. GindorfF
- 1P. LoretzG
- 5V. GhitaD
- 38J. ReinholdM
- 27H. MatsudaD
- 14H. ChakrounF
- 24Y. UnalD
- 9B. KallmanF
- 7M. BunduF
- 28T. EtcibasiF
Form going into SV Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96
SV Darmstadt 98
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Dynamo Dresden16 August 2026
- D2-2Holstein Kiel8 August 2026
Hannover 96
All competitions we cover
- L0-1VfL Wolfsburg16 August 2026
- L1-3away to Energie Cottbus9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 9 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SV Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96
- 11 April 2026SV Darmstadt 98 0–2 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
- 8 November 2025Hannover 96 2–3 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 20 April 2025SV Darmstadt 98 3–1 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
- 23 November 2024Hannover 96 1–2 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 14 May 2023Hannover 96 2–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 4 November 2022SV Darmstadt 98 1–0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
The result against the call
Hannover 96 won 1–0 at SV Darmstadt 98. The model had leaned towards a win for SV Darmstadt 98 at 40% and given a win for Hannover 96 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: L. Gindorf (penalty) 57' for Hannover 96. Sent off: Aleksandar Vukotić (SV Darmstadt 98) 20'. On expected goals it finished 0.91–2.31.