FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: FC St. Pauli 1-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% FC St. Pauli, 27% draw, 22% 1. FC Kaiserslautern — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC St. Pauli at 51% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
FC St. Pauli
- D2-2away to Holstein Kiel14 August 2026
- D1-1SpVgg Greuther Fürth9 August 2026
1. FC Kaiserslautern
- D0-0Karlsruher SC15 August 2026
- D0-0away to VfL Wolfsburg8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC St. Pauli | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
- 20 January 2024FC St. Pauli 2–0 FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
- 29 July 2023FC Kaiserslautern 1–2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
- 12 February 2023FC St. Pauli 1–0 FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
- 7 August 2022FC Kaiserslautern 2–1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
- 17 March 2018FC Kaiserslautern 1–1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
- 13 October 2017FC St. Pauli 1–1 FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Kaiserslautern
FC St. Pauli
- T. Hara2 goals1 assists
1. FC Kaiserslautern
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.