7 November 2026, 12:00 UTC

1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
Referee: Eric-Dominic Weisbach
Full time2 – 0

Final score: 1. FC Nürnberg 2-0 SV Darmstadt 98.

Before kick-off the model made it 62% 1. FC Nürnberg, 21% draw, 17% SV Darmstadt 98 — fair odds of 1.61, 4.76 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

1. FC Nürnberg at 62%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

1. FC Nürnberg99%Draw1%SV Darmstadt 980%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Tim Janisch
17'
48'
🔁Lee Ho-Jaeout: Lance Duijvestijn
⚽Piet Scobelassist: Adam Markhiev
50'
56'
Yannik Luhrs
🔁Tim Janischout: Giannis Masouras
59'
🔁Rafael Lubachout: Rayan Ghrieb
60'
🔁Piet Scobelout: Sigurd Haugen
65'
74'
🔁Marco Richterout: Ibrahim El Kadiri
74'
🔁William Mikelbrencisout: Christopher Lannert
86'
🔁Hiroki Akiyamaout: Lars Kehl
⚽William Bøving
88'
90+1'
•Yannik Luhrs
🔁William Bøvingout: Andrea Ceresoli
90+1'
🔁Julian Justvanout: Marc Kornwachs Barjuan
90+2'
90+3'
Milan Smit

Match stats — 1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98

63%Possession37%
22Shots10
7On target2
10Corners3
2.16xG1.17

Goals against chances

1. FC Nürnberg2 from 2.16 xGabout what the chances were worth
SV Darmstadt 980 from 1.17 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. ReichertG
  • 32T. JanischD
  • 4A. KalogeropoulosD
  • 5S. MkrtchyanD
  • 41E. PorstnerD
  • 6A. MarhievM
  • 8J. FernandezM
  • 10J. JustvanM
  • 11W. BøvingM
  • 18Rafael LubachM
  • 19P. ScobelF
Substitutes
  • 16Marko SoldicM
  • 7R. GhriebF
  • 15M. FayeD
  • 14Andrea CeresoliD
  • 9S. HaugenF
  • 35M. Kornwachs BarjuanM
  • 13Robin LisewskiG
  • 21G. MasourasD
  • 28Can Yaha MoustfaF
Coach: M. Klose
SV Darmstadt 98 3-5-2
  • 30A. BrunstG
  • 20A. VukotićD
  • 49Y. LührsD
  • 18R. PetrettaD
  • 25W. MikelbrencisM
  • 5M. RichterM
  • 16H. AkiyamaM
  • 17K. KlefischM
  • 7N. WeißhauptM
  • 36M. SmitF
  • 9Lee Ho-JaeF
Substitutes
  • 24Benedikt BörnerG
  • 41L. DuijvestijnM
  • 11I. El KadiriF
  • 44Y. FurukawaF
  • 22L. KehlM
  • 3F. KleinhanslD
  • 19F. LakenmacherF
  • 26M. BaderD
  • 28C. LannertD
Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Form going into 1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98

1. FC Nürnberg

2. Bundesliga

  • W3-1away to FC St. Pauli1 November 2026
  • L0-11. FC Kaiserslautern24 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Energie Cottbus16 October 2026
  • D4-4VfL Wolfsburg10 October 2026

SV Darmstadt 98

2. Bundesliga

  • D1-11. FC Magdeburg31 October 2026
  • D0-0FC St. Pauli23 October 2026
  • L0-4away to Karlsruher SC18 October 2026
  • W3-1Energie Cottbus10 October 2026

What these results say

  • 1. FC Nürnberg conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • 1. FC Nürnberg failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 1. FC Nürnberg scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • SV Darmstadt 98 failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • SV Darmstadt 98 conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
21. FC Nürnberg117312613+1324
17SV Darmstadt 9811236921-129

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: 1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98

  • 23 January 2026SV Darmstadt 98 2–0 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
  • 8 August 20251. FC Nürnberg 0–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
  • 31 January 20251. FC Nürnberg 1–0 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
  • 25 August 2024SV Darmstadt 98 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
  • 31 March 2023FC Nurnberg 0–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
  • 17 September 2022SV Darmstadt 98 2–0 FC Nurnberg2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: 1. FC Nürnberg and SV Darmstadt 98

1. FC Nürnberg

GoalsAssists

  • M. Zoma70
  • P. Scobel61

SV Darmstadt 98

No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

1. FC Nürnberg beat SV Darmstadt 98 2–0. The model had made a win for 1. FC Nürnberg its most likely outcome, at 62%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Piet Scobel 50' for 1. FC Nürnberg, William Bøving 88' for 1. FC Nürnberg. On expected goals it finished 2.16–1.17.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave 1. FC Nürnberg a 36.7% chance to finish in the top two: 38.9% after a win, 32.8% after a draw, 29.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 38.9%, 2.2 points higher than before the match.

For SV Darmstadt 98 the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 36.7% going in: 27.7% after a win, 34.5% after a draw, 39.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 39.1%, 2.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 2. Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.