2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Trinidense Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result
Final score: 2 de Mayo 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% 2 de Mayo, 29% draw, 35% Sportivo Trinidense — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Paraguayan Primera División Clausura predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
2 de Mayo at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Trinidense
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1D. LerdaG
- 3A. VillalbaD
- 5C. SaizD
- 6C. RamírezD
- 19C. CastroD
- 16M. GómezM
- 10A. GómezM
- 24Ó. RomeroM
- 27M. MoyaM
- 31H. RiquelmeM
- 7F. CáceresF
- 8Á. AguileraM
- 25A. CerveraF
- 11U. CoronelD
- 37L. DelgadilloM
- 17P. DelvalleF
- 30A. FariñaM
- 40Marcelo GonzálezF
- 22T. PortilloF
- 32Mario RamírezG
- 1M. DufourG
- 23C. BenítezD
- 40A. da SilveiraD
- 6A. CañeteD
- 31A. MorinigoD
- 21G. VieraM
- 5N. GautoM
- 10N. ManáM
- 11L. AbreuM
- 22J. GamarraM
- 20C. GonzálezF
- 37L. GonzalezM
- 34Fernando RomanD
- 9O. GiménezF
- 12V. SamudioG
- 3D. VillalbaD
- 8L. de la CruzD
- 30R. CornetM
- 19A. CanoM
- 7N. CamachoF
Form going into 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Trinidense
2 de Mayo
Division Profesional - Clausura
- L0-1away to Club Guarani30 October 2026
- D1-1Deportivo Recoleta24 October 2026
- L0-3away to Olimpia17 October 2026
Sportivo Trinidense
Division Profesional - Clausura
- L2-4Rubio NU30 October 2026
- W1-0away to Nacional Asuncion24 October 2026
- W1-0Libertad Asuncion18 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Division Profesional - Clausura table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 de Mayo | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 30 |
| 2 | Sportivo Trinidense | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 18 | +13 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Trinidense
- 29 August 2026Sportivo Trinidense 0–1 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 1 May 2026Sportivo Trinidense 1–2 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 28 February 20262 de Mayo 1–0 Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 25 October 2025Sportivo Trinidense 2–1 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 8 August 20252 de Mayo 0–2 Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 9 May 2025Sportivo Trinidense 2–1 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Apertura
Leading scorers: 2 de Mayo and Sportivo Trinidense
2 de Mayo
GoalsAssists
- D. Acosta51
Sportivo Trinidense
GoalsAssists
- F. Romero71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
2 de Mayo and Sportivo Trinidense drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for 2 de Mayo at 36% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.65–0.67.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave 2 de Mayo a 36.9% chance to finish in the top four: 58.3% after a win, 31.8% after a draw, 17.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 31.8%, 5.1 points lower than before the match.
For Sportivo Trinidense the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 65.2% going in: 85.5% after a win, 65.4% after a draw, 45.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 65.4%.
Read from our Division Profesional - Clausura season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on 2 de Mayo v Sportivo Trinidense has moved
First published on 25 Oct at 33% / 29% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 36% / 29% / 35%: the biggest move is 2 de Mayo's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- 2 de Mayo win36%▲ +3
- Draw29%=
- Sportivo Trinidense win35%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.