4 November 2026, 22:00 UTC

Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result

Estadio Jose Tomas Silva, Asuncion
Referee: Blas Romero
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Club Guarani.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Sportivo Ameliano, 29% draw, 40% Club Guarani — fair odds of 3.23, 3.45 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Club Guarani at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Fabián Franco
15'
21'
🔁Victor·Cespedesout: Diego·Fernandez
38'
Jorge Recalde
45'
🔁Maximiliano Nahuel Añasco Dornellsout: Juan Manuel García
45'
🔁Jorge Recaldeout: Fernando Fernandez
45'
🔁Martín Maldonadoout: P. Coronel
🔁Luis María Ayala Bentosout: Luis Ortiz
65'
65'
🔁J. Llanoout: L. Martínez
71'
🔁Armando Méndezout: R. Rodríguez
🔁Valentin Larraldeout: Estivel Moreira
74'
🔁Fredy Veraout: Carlos Fabricio Favero Villasanti
74'
🔁Jonathan Daniel Benítez Benítezout: Walter Rodriguez
83'
🔁R. Toralesout: Alcides Ariel Ávalos Samudio
84'
Luis Ortiz
84'
88'
⚽Walter Rodriguez (OG)

Match stats — Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani

48%Possession52%
9Shots15
2On target2
3Corners5
0.65xG0.94

Goals against chances

Sportivo Ameliano0 from 0.65 xGless than the chances were worth
Club Guarani1 from 0.94 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1
  • 35Á. SánchezG
  • 21F. FrancoD
  • 5H. BenítezD
  • 22L. FalabellaD
  • 19A. ParedesD
  • 6J. BenítezM
  • 20V. LarraldeM
  • 10R. CabralM
  • 24L. BentosM
  • 7F. VeraM
  • 17R. ToralesF
Substitutes
  • 31E. BritezM
  • 3F. BáezD
  • 32G. CamargoM
  • 16C. FaveroF
  • 8E. MoreiraM
  • 29L. OlmedoM
  • 18L. OrtizM
  • 13R. PeraltaM
  • 15W. RodríguezM
Coach: Roberto Nanni
Club Guarani 4-4-2
  • 31M. MartínezG
  • 4A. MéndezD
  • 2I. SegoviaD
  • 15T. ServínD
  • 35Pedro GonzalezD
  • 34M. MaldonadoM
  • 29F. LlanoM
  • 25G. GómezM
  • 17V. CéspedesM
  • 10M. AñascoF
  • 9J. RecaldeF
Substitutes
  • 38P. CoroneF
  • 16Jonatan Marcelo Benítez OtazúM
  • 12G. DionisiG
  • 40F. FernándezF
  • 26D. FernándezF
  • 11J. GarcíaF
  • 19A. IbarraD
  • 23M. JacquetD
  • 36L. MartínezM
Coach: F. Arce

Form going into Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani

Sportivo Ameliano

Division Profesional - Clausura

  • L0-3away to Deportivo Recoleta31 October 2026
  • L2-3Olimpia25 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Cerro Porteno18 October 2026

Club Guarani

Division Profesional - Clausura

  • W1-02 de Mayo30 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Rubio NU23 October 2026
  • L0-2Nacional Asuncion17 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Division Profesional - Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Sportivo Ameliano194781928-919
5Club Guarani198742117+431

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani

  • 30 August 2026Club Guarani 1–1 Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 16 May 2026Club Guarani 1–0 Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 15 March 2026Sportivo Ameliano 0–0 Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 12 October 2025Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 31 July 2025Club Guarani 4–1 Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 18 May 2025Club Guarani 1–3 Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Apertura

Leading scorers: Sportivo Ameliano and Club Guarani

Sportivo Ameliano

GoalsAssists

  • C. Ocampos53
  • R. Torales51
  • E. Moreira50

Club Guarani

No player in Division Profesional - Clausura's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Club Guarani won 1–0 at Sportivo Ameliano. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Club Guarani at 40%. The goal: Walter Rodriguez (own goal) 88' for Club Guarani. On expected goals it finished 0.65–0.94.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sportivo Ameliano a 10.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 2.5% after a win, 10.1% after a draw, 15.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.8%, 5.3 points higher than before the match.

For Club Guarani the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 35.4% going in: 49.2% after a win, 29.3% after a draw, 19.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 49.2%, 13.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Division Profesional - Clausura season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Sportivo Ameliano v Club Guarani has moved

First published on 25 Oct at 35% / 29% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 31% / 29% / 40%: the biggest move is Sportivo Ameliano's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. Sportivo Ameliano win31%▼ −4
  2. Draw29%=
  3. Club Guarani win40%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.