Al-Hilal vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Al-Hilal 2-0 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
Before kick-off the model made it 64% Al-Hilal, 21% draw, 15% Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — fair odds of 1.56, 4.76 and 6.67.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Hilal at 64%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Hilal vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 37Y. BounouG
- 78Ali LajamiD
- 3K. KoulibalyD
- 4Yusuf AkçiçekD
- 72S. DahalM
- 22S. Milinković-SavićM
- 28Mohamed KannoM
- 24Moteb Al HarbiM
- 11O. WatkinsM
- 70Saïmon BouabréM
- 75M. MeïtéF
- 96Suhayb Al ZaidM
- 93Abdullah Al AnaziM
- 27Sultan MandashF
- 2Mohammed Mater Mohsin MahzariD
- 19T. HernándezD
- 6Nasser Al DawsariM
- 77Nawaf Al HabashiM
- 18Murad Al HawsawiM
- 33Mohammed Al OwaisG
- 33Matheus DonelliG
- 75Mateus HenriqueD
- 3Igor GomesD
- 44Jorge FernandesD
- 4W. FaesD
- 31Kauan SantosD
- 80Breno CascardoM
- 6S. EzatolahiM
- 88N. MaksimovićM
- 20S. AzmounF
- 8Mohammad JumaF
- 5E. IralaM
- 79João MarceloF
- 24J. MarkeloF
- 19MateusãoF
- 16RikelmeD
- 1Rakaan WaleedG
- 26Eid Khamis Al-NuaimiM
- 55Juan AlvinaF
- 21Sultan AdilF
Form going into Al-Hilal vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Al-Hilal
AFC Champions League Elite
- L1-3away to Al Shamal27 October 2026
- W2-0away to Al Sadd13 October 2026
- W2-1Al-Gharafa15 September 2026
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
AFC Champions League Elite
- W2-0Esteghlal FC27 October 2026
- W2-1away to Al-Ittihad13 October 2026
- W1-0Tractor Sazi14 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Hilal | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al-Hilal vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
- 9 February 2026Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0–0 Al-HilalAFC Champions League Elite
- 20 February 2023Al-Hilal 3–1 Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAFC Champions League
- 30 April 2021Al-Hilal 0–2 Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAFC Champions League
- 18 April 2021Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0–2 Al-HilalAFC Champions League
- 17 February 2020Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1–2 Al-HilalAFC Champions League
Leading scorers: Al-Hilal and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Al-Hilal
GoalsAssists
- O. Watkins30
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
GoalsAssists
- S. Azmoun22
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Hilal beat Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Al-Hilal at 64%. The goals: Ollie Watkins 6' for Al-Hilal, Ollie Watkins 46' for Al-Hilal. On expected goals it finished 1.34–0.28.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.