16 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

AC Horsens vs Randers FC Superliga prediction & result

Hybel Arena Horsens, Horsens
Referee: Morten Krogh
Full time0 – 0

Final score: AC Horsens 0-0 Randers FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% AC Horsens, 24% draw, 25% Randers FC — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

AC Horsens at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

AC Horsens8%Draw89%Randers FC3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

21'
•Laurits Pedersen
22'
Laurits Pedersen
Adam Herdonsson
41'
45'
Axel Henriksson
45+1'
Mike Themsen
🔁Kingsley Bimpongout: Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan
45'
🔁Adam Herdonssonout: Abdul Moro
45'
45'
🔁Kasper Junkerout: Martin André Sjølstad
51'
⚽Mohamed Sankoh (pen)
🔁Jimi Tauriainenout: Julius Madsen
67'
67'
🔁Mohamed Sankohout: Amady Camara
71'
Sabil Osman Hansen
77'
🔁Nikolas Langberg Dyhrout: Oliver Jones
77'
🔁Mike Themsenout: Hector Lux
🔁Karlo Lusavecout: Yamirou Ouorou
80'

Match stats — AC Horsens vs Randers FC

68%Possession32%
10Shots10
5On target3
4Corners7
0.54xG1.89

Goals against chances

AC Horsens0 from 0.54 xGless than the chances were worth
Randers FC0 from 1.89 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

AC Horsens 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. DelačG
  • 26V. PálssonD
  • 35M. KupijbidaD
  • 28A. SaineD
  • 7I. MiličevićD
  • 17A. HerdonssonM
  • 20K. LusavecM
  • 41Kingsley BimpongM
  • 6J. BondeM
  • 19Jimi Weikko TauriainenM
  • 15A. JustinussenF
Substitutes
  • 27Y. OuorouF
  • 30S. DouaD
  • 12Diomande Valassina SoloD
  • 22J. BatigiF
  • 11K. EhibhatiomhanF
  • 18J. KörkköF
  • 14J. MadsenM
  • 16A. MoroM
  • 31A. HoffG
Coach: Niki Zimling
Randers FC 4-4-2
  • 1P. IzzoG
  • 24S. HansenD
  • 3D. HøeghD
  • 27N. HoplandD
  • 44N. DyhrD
  • 21A. HenrikssonM
  • 8L. PedersenM
  • 17M. GreveM
  • 7M. ThemsenM
  • 30M. SankohF
  • 77K. JunkerF
Substitutes
  • 31F. SommerD
  • 32J. StorchG
  • 10W. CaddyF
  • 36A. CamaraF
  • 29S. StukerD
  • 26H. HoyrupM
  • 5O. JonesD
  • 11E. MahmoudM
  • 15M. SjølstadD
Coach: R. Bertelsen

Form going into AC Horsens vs Randers FC

AC Horsens

Superliga

  • D3-3away to Silkeborg11 October 2026

Randers FC

Superliga

  • L0-2Viborg11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7AC Horsens144462323016
11Randers FC143291427-1311

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: AC Horsens vs Randers FC

  • 29 January 2025Randers FC 3–4 AC HorsensFriendlies Clubs
  • 15 July 2023Randers FC 1–0 AC HorsensFriendlies Clubs
  • 4 November 2022AC Horsens 5–1 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 5 August 2022Randers FC 1–0 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • 21 January 2022AC Horsens 2–1 Randers FCFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: AC Horsens and Randers FC

AC Horsens

GoalsAssists

  • K. Ehibhatiomhan40

Randers FC

GoalsAssists

  • M. Themsen51
  • M. Sankoh41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

AC Horsens and Randers FC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for AC Horsens at 51% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: Laurits Pedersen (Randers FC) 22'. On expected goals it finished 0.54–1.89.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave AC Horsens a 11.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 5.7% after a win, 12.4% after a draw, 19.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 12.4%, 1.4 points higher than before the match.

For Randers FC the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 51.6% going in: 36.1% after a win, 50.2% after a draw, 59.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 50.2%, 1.4 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on AC Horsens v Randers FC has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 45% / 27% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 51% / 24% / 25%: the biggest move is AC Horsens's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. AC Horsens win51%▲ +6
  2. Draw24%▼ −3
  3. Randers FC win25%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.