16 October 2026, 20:30 UTC

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs ADT Primera División prediction & result

Estadio Municipal Los Chankas, Andahuaylas
Referee: Diego Haro
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2-1 ADT.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Club Deportivo Los Chankas, 28% draw, 27% ADT — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Club Deportivo Los Chankas97%Draw3%ADT0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
⚽Juan lucumi
Kenji Barrios
21'
37'
Said Peralta
45'
•Said Peralta
⚽Jarlin Quinteroassist: Franco Nicolas Torres
45+2'
🔁Gonzalo Rizzoout: Axel Chávez
45'
🔁juan ospinaout: Christian Velarde
45'
🔁Kenji Barriosout: Michael Kaufman
45'
60'
Joaquín Pereira
63'
🔁Alejandro Ramosout: Jerry Navarro
63'
🔁Horacio Benincasaout: Jhair Soto
Christian Velarde
69'
72'
Joao Rojas
72'
Aylton Mazzo
75'
🔁Aylton Mazzoout: Aldair Rodríguez
⚽Marlon Torres
80'
81'
🔁Juan lucumiout: J. Alvino
82'
🔁Said Peraltaout: Jonathan Bauman
83'
Orlando Nunez
🔁Franco Nicolas Torresout: Kelvin Sanchez
84'
🔁Jarlin Quinteroout: David Martín Gonzáles García
87'

Match stats — Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs ADT

52%Possession48%
11Shots11
3On target3
5Corners2
1.5xG0.84

Goals against chances

Club Deportivo Los Chankas2 from 1.50 xGmore than the chances were worth
ADT1 from 0.84 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Club Deportivo Los Chankas 5-3-2
  • 1H. CamachoG
  • 18O. TakeuchiD
  • 33C. PimientaD
  • 2H. GonzálezD
  • 24G. RizzoD
  • 27K. BarriosD
  • 5J. PalominoM
  • 10F. TorresM
  • 7J. OspinaM
  • 20M. TorresF
  • 11J. QuinteroF
Substitutes
  • 16A. ChávezD
  • 77F. EspinozaF
  • 26D. GonzálesD
  • 14B. GuevaraD
  • 30M. KaufmanD
  • 4A. CamposM
  • 12L. PretelG
  • 15K. SánchezM
  • 17C. VelardeM
Coach: J. Balazar
ADT 4-2-3-1
  • 30J. ValenciaG
  • 98A. RamosD
  • 99J. PereyraD
  • 44H. BenincasaD
  • 59O. NúñezD
  • 6Á. OjedaM
  • 16L. PérezM
  • 77Juan David Lucumí CueroM
  • 7J. RojasM
  • 18Aylton MazzoM
  • 24S. PeraltaF
Substitutes
  • 28J. SotoD
  • 15Josué AlvinoM
  • 32J. BaumanF
  • 26Jhojan GarcilazoF
  • 27A. HidalgoM
  • 31J. NavarroD
  • 22A. RodríguezF
  • 3L. RugelD
  • 33C. SolísG
Coach: V. Rivera

Form going into Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs ADT

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Atletico Grau8 October 2026

ADT

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0FC Cajamarca10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Peru Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas33139114052-1248
15ADT33711153648-1231

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs ADT

  • 27 April 2026ADT 4–0 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
  • 10 November 2025ADT 1–0 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
  • 4 July 2025Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 ADTPrimera División
  • 27 July 2024ADT 2–1 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
  • 11 February 2024Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–0 ADTPrimera División

Leading scorers: Club Deportivo Los Chankas and ADT

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

GoalsAssists

  • F. Torres95

ADT

No player in Primera División's leading scorers — 36 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Club Deportivo Los Chankas beat ADT 2–1. The model had made a win for Club Deportivo Los Chankas its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Juan lucumi 10' for ADT, Jarlin Quintero 45+2' for Club Deportivo Los Chankas, Marlon Torres 80' for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. On expected goals it finished 1.50–0.84.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Club Deportivo Los Chankas a 2.9% chance to finish in the top four: 4.6% after a win, 1.4% after a draw, under 1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 4.6%, 1.7 points higher than before the match.

For ADT the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 72.3% going in: 56.2% after a win, 72.2% after a draw, 81.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 81.8%, 9.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Primera División season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Club Deportivo Los Chankas v ADT has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 42% / 29% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 45% / 28% / 27%: the biggest move is Club Deportivo Los Chankas's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Club Deportivo Los Chankas win45%▲ +3
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. ADT win27%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.