18 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Odense vs Brondby Superliga prediction & result

Nature Energy Park, Odense
Referee: Michael Tykgaard
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Odense 2-1 Brondby.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Odense, 27% draw, 40% Brondby — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Brondby at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Noah Ganaus
6'
⚽Noah Ganaus
27'
⚽Raphael Canut (OG)
29'
Viljar Myhra
37'
41'
Olti Hyseni
42'
⚽Olti Hyseni
🔁Alexander Ahl Holmstromout: Christian Gammelgaard
45'
•Christian Gammelgaard
53'
Magnus Hvitfeldt Andersen
53'
Thomas Thomasberg
54'
64'
🔁Marcus Younisout: Patrick Mortensen
64'
🔁Oliver Marc Rose-Villadsenout: Christopher Olivier
🔁Fredrik Ulvestadout: Rasmus Falk Jensen
71'
74'
🔁Olti Hyseniout: Daniel Wass
75'
🔁Jacob Brøchner Ambækout: Sho Fukuda
🔁Nikolaj Juul-Sandbergout: Anssi Suhonen
77'
🔁Topi Keskinenout: Jay-Roy Grot
77'
82'
🔁Raphael Canutout: Filip Bundgaard Kristensen
🔁Noah Ganausout: Ulrik Jenssen
86'

Match stats — Odense vs Brondby

44%Possession56%
13Shots14
4On target4
2Corners9
0.78xG2.58

Goals against chances

Odense2 from 0.78 xGmore than the chances were worth
Brondby1 from 2.58 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Odense 4-3-3
  • 16V. MyhraG
  • 28Magnus Hvitfeldt AndersenD
  • 4Julian Andreas PauliD
  • 13J. Berthel AskouD
  • 15M. McCoyD
  • 19Nikolaj Juul-SandbergM
  • 22I. OuédraogoM
  • 6F. UlvestadM
  • 17N. GanausF
  • 18A. Ahl-HolmströmF
  • 9T. KeskinenF
Substitutes
  • 10A. SuhonenM
  • 3A. SørensenD
  • 24M. RaknebergD
  • 5U. Yttergård JenssenD
  • 1M. HansenG
  • 31J. GrotF
  • 14C. GammelgaardF
  • 8R. FalkM
  • 7J. ArpF
Coach: T. Thomasberg
Brondby 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. PentzG
  • 2O. VilladsenD
  • 37R. CanutD
  • 32F. AlvesD
  • 24M. DivkovićD
  • 99B. SliszM
  • 18M. EjdumM
  • 21M. YounisM
  • 29M. Frøkjær-JensenM
  • 7O. HyseniM
  • 38J. AmbækF
Substitutes
  • 10D. WassM
  • 3Christopher OlivierD
  • 9P. MortensenF
  • 34Lukas LarsenD
  • 19S. FukudaF
  • 51O. FengerF
  • 11F. BundgaardF
  • 15C. WintherM
  • 50W. Sonne SchmidG
Coach: Thomas Nörgaard

Form going into Odense vs Brondby

Odense

Superliga

  • D0-0away to FC Nordsjaelland9 October 2026

Brondby

Superliga

  • W5-2Lyngby11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Odense144551619-317
5Brondby147162321+222

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Odense vs Brondby

  • 11 July 2026Brondby 4–0 OdenseFriendlies Clubs
  • 1 February 2026Brondby 1–1 OdenseFriendlies Clubs
  • 27 October 2025Odense 1–4 BrondbySuperliga
  • 28 September 2025Brondby 5–1 OdenseSuperliga
  • 25 February 2024Odense 0–3 BrondbySuperliga
  • 30 July 2023Brondby 1–2 OdenseSuperliga

Leading scorers: Odense and Brondby

Odense

GoalsAssists

  • N. Ganaus40
  • J. Arp40

Brondby

GoalsAssists

  • M. Frøkjær-Jensen51
  • O. Hyseni43

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Odense beat Brondby 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Brondby at 40% and given a win for Odense 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Noah Ganaus 27' for Odense, Raphael Canut (own goal) 29' for Odense, Olti Hyseni 42' for Brondby. On expected goals it finished 0.78–2.58.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Odense a 36.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 24.1% after a win, 36.6% after a draw, 43.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 24.1%, 11.9 points lower than before the match.

For Brondby the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 35.4% going in: 44.3% after a win, 32.8% after a draw, 24.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 24.6%, 10.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Odense v Brondby has moved

First published on 4 Oct at 34% / 29% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 33% / 27% / 40%: the biggest move is Brondby's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Odense win33%▼ −1
  2. Draw27%▼ −2
  3. Brondby win40%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.