Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara Primeira Liga prediction & result
Final score: Academico Viseu 0-1 Santa Clara.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Academico Viseu, 25% draw, 49% Santa Clara — fair odds of 3.85, 4.00 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Santa Clara at 49% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 98EwertonG
- 75Robinho
- 41A. CorreiaD
- 44R. PereiraD
- 66I. MilioransaD
- 45A. MestanzaM
- 14S. MesseguemM
- 31Joao GuilhermeM
- 8C. KahramanM
- 10A. ZamoraM
- 33Andre ClovisF
- 1M. LavinG
- 58Matheus SampaioG
- 2N. MichelisD
- 21T. DomingosD
- 5Pedro BarcelosD
- 6A. CeitilM
- 18C. FerreiraM
- 29A. Babic
- 78B. SilvaM
- 1Lucas FrancaG
- 2Diogo CalilaD
- 4P. PachecoD
- 21E. FernandesD
- 5Guilherme RomaoD
- 6P. FerreiraM
- 41Daniel BorgesM
- 99SorrisoM
- 8J. TavaresM
- 70Vinicius LopesM
- 9G. PacienciaF
- 12NenecaG
- 42Lucas SoaresD
- 20T. RibeiroM
- 37RildoF
- 88Hiago SantosM
- 17VasconcelosM
- 22VitinhoM
- 18A. DuarteF
- 11Welinton TorraoF
Form going into Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara
Academico Viseu
- D2-2away to Benfica9 August 2026
Santa Clara
- D2-2Nacional10 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara
- 15 August 2026Academico Viseu 0–1 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
- 4 March 2024Academico Viseu 1–1 Santa ClaraSegunda Liga
- 6 October 2023Santa Clara 2–0 Academico ViseuSegunda Liga
- 12 May 2018Academico Viseu 2–1 Santa ClaraSegunda Liga
- 6 January 2018Santa Clara 0–0 Academico ViseuSegunda Liga
- 26 March 2017Academico Viseu 2–1 Santa ClaraSegunda Liga
Leading scorers: Academico Viseu and Santa Clara
Academico Viseu
- André Clóvis2 goals
Santa Clara
- Gonçalo Paciência5 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.