Academico Viseu vs Vitória SC Primeira Liga prediction & result
Final score: Academico Viseu 2-1 Vitória SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Academico Viseu, 31% draw, 29% Vitória SC — fair odds of 2.50, 3.23 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Primeira Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Academico Viseu at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Academico Viseu vs Vitória SC
Line-ups
- 98EwertonG
- 75RobinhoD
- 41A. CorreiaD
- 2N. MichelisD
- 57G. CostaD
- 7Luís SilvaM
- 31João GuilhermeM
- 14S. MesseguemM
- 8C. KahramanM
- 47L. GohiM
- 33André ClóvisF
- 10Á. ZamoraF
- 1Marcos LavínG
- 22Nils MortimerF
- 44Rúben PereiraD
- 5Pedro BarcelosD
- 9M. BouldiniF
- 45Alejandro MestanzaM
- 3Miguel BrauD
- 21Tomás DomingosD
- 48O. ZychG
- 23T. StrataD
- 28Thiago BalieiroD
- 5A. SidibéD
- 13João MendesD
- 16BeniM
- 44L. DoucetM
- 11GustavoM
- 20SamuM
- 7O. CamaraM
- 9A. JakupovicF
- 21T. BorevkovićD
- 22J. CastilloG
- 2Miguel MagaD
- 19V. AnderssonM
- 82F. DiasD
- 24A. NdoyeF
- 29V. OuotroF
- 4Óscar RivasD
- 8Gonçalo NogueiraM
Form going into Academico Viseu vs Vitória SC
Academico Viseu
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to GIL Vicente6 September 2026
- L0-3FC Porto29 August 2026
- D2-2away to Maritimo22 August 2026
- L0-1Santa Clara15 August 2026
- D2-2away to Benfica9 August 2026
Vitória SC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Casa Pia6 September 2026
- L0-1away to SC Braga31 August 2026
What these results say
- Academico Viseu failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Academico Viseu conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Academico Viseu and Vitória SC
Academico Viseu
GoalsAssists
- André Clóvis51
- S. Messeguem31
- João Guilherme30
Vitória SC
No player in Primeira Liga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Academico Viseu beat Vitória SC 2–1. The model had made a win for Academico Viseu its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Lorougnon Gohi 53' for Academico Viseu, Gonçalo Nogueira 67' for Vitória SC, Mohamed Bouldini 90+3' for Academico Viseu. Sent off: Alioune Ndoye (Vitória SC) 90+5'.
How the call on Academico Viseu v Vitória SC has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 40% / 31% / 29%: the biggest move is Vitória SC's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Academico Viseu win40%=
- Draw31%▲ +2
- Vitória SC win29%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.