Academico Viseu vs Vitória SC Primeira Liga prediction & result
Final score: Academico Viseu 2-1 Vitória SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Academico Viseu, 31% draw, 29% Vitória SC — fair odds of 2.50, 3.23 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Academico Viseu at 40% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Academico Viseu vs Vitória SC
Line-ups
- 98EwertonG
- 75RobinhoD
- 41A. CorreiaD
- 2N. MichelisD
- 57G. CostaD
- 7Luís SilvaM
- 31João GuilhermeM
- 14S. MesseguemM
- 8C. KahramanM
- 47L. GohiM
- 33André ClóvisF
- 10Á. ZamoraF
- 1Marcos LavínG
- 22Nils MortimerF
- 44Rúben PereiraD
- 5Pedro BarcelosD
- 9M. BouldiniF
- 45Alejandro MestanzaM
- 3Miguel BrauD
- 21Tomás DomingosD
- 48O. ZychG
- 23T. StrataD
- 28Thiago BalieiroD
- 5A. SidibéD
- 13João MendesD
- 16BeniM
- 44L. DoucetM
- 11GustavoM
- 20SamuM
- 7O. CamaraM
- 9A. JakupovicF
- 21T. BorevkovićD
- 22J. CastilloG
- 2Miguel MagaD
- 19V. AnderssonM
- 82F. DiasD
- 24A. NdoyeF
- 29V. OuotroF
- 4Óscar RivasD
- 8Gonçalo NogueiraM
Form going into Academico Viseu vs Vitória SC
Academico Viseu
- W1-0away to GIL Vicente6 September 2026
- L0-3FC Porto29 August 2026
- D2-2away to Maritimo22 August 2026
- L0-1Santa Clara15 August 2026
Vitória SC
- D0-0Casa Pia6 September 2026
- L0-1away to SC Braga31 August 2026
- W1-0Nacional23 August 2026
- L2-3away to Sporting CP14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Academico Viseu vs Vitória SC
- 12 September 2026Academico Viseu 2–1 Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
Leading scorers: Academico Viseu and Vitória SC
Academico Viseu
- André Clóvis2 goals
Vitória SC
No player in Primeira Liga's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.