Vissel Kobe vs Ratchaburi AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Vissel Kobe 3-2 Ratchaburi.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Vissel Kobe, 21% draw, 16% Ratchaburi — fair odds of 1.59, 4.76 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Vissel Kobe at 63%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vissel Kobe vs Ratchaburi
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 21S. AraiG
- 2N. IinoD
- 31T. IwanamiD
- 16CaetanoD
- 41K. NagatoD
- 20K. WatanabeM
- 25Y. KuwasakiM
- 5Y. GokeM
- 28K. HamasakiF
- 29R. KomatsuF
- 26Jean PatrickF
- 15DiegoD
- 4T. YamakawaD
- 3Matheus ThulerD
- 94ErikF
- 71S. GondaG
- 44M. HidakaM
- 7Y. IdeguchiM
- 62H. KawabataF
- 1D. MaekawaG
- 99K. PhatomakkakulG
- 15A. PromrakD
- 44Pablo InsuaD
- 5D. TingD
- 28T. LimwanasathianM
- 48S. AllardiceM
- 20Sanchai NontasilaM
- 21E. PanyaM
- 6TanaM
- 17SidcleyM
- 22P. SangkasophaF
- 31S. van WermeskerkenD
- 8T. SuengchitthawonM
- 92Njiva RakotoharimalalaF
- 88C. PoomkaewM
- 42S. PanthongM
- 27J. CurranM
- 9Bruno MendesF
- 3Tarek AggounD
- 97U. WongmeemaG
Form going into Vissel Kobe vs Ratchaburi
Vissel Kobe
AFC Champions League Elite
- W1-0away to Daejeon Citizen27 October 2026
- W2-0Jeonbuk Motors14 October 2026
- W2-1away to Port FC16 September 2026
Ratchaburi
AFC Champions League Elite
- D0-0Kashiwa Reysol27 October 2026
- L0-1away to Kyoto Sanga13 October 2026
- L4-6SHANGHAI SIPG15 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 12 |
| 14 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Vissel Kobe and Ratchaburi
Vissel Kobe
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Ratchaburi
GoalsAssists
- Martin Njiva Rakotoharimalala31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Vissel Kobe beat Ratchaburi 3–2. The model had made a win for Vissel Kobe its most likely outcome, at 63%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Kento Hamasaki 34' for Vissel Kobe, Phongsakon Sangkasopha 64' for Ratchaburi, Ekanit Panya 82' for Ratchaburi, Erik Nascimento de Lima 83' for Vissel Kobe, Tetsushi Yamakawa 88' for Vissel Kobe. On expected goals it finished 2.58–0.63.
How the call on Vissel Kobe v Ratchaburi has moved
First published on 20 Oct at 70% / 17% / 13% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 63% / 21% / 16%: the biggest move is Vissel Kobe's chance of winning, down 7 points.
- Vissel Kobe win63%▼ −7
- Draw21%▲ +4
- Ratchaburi win16%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.