Al-Ittihad vs Al Ain AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Al-Ittihad 1-4 Al Ain.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Al-Ittihad, 26% draw, 26% Al Ain — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Ittihad at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Ittihad vs Al Ain
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1P. RajkovićG
- 22Marwan Al SahafiD
- 6Saad Al MosaD
- 2Danilo PereiraD
- 4J. ŠimićD
- 13Muhannad Al ShanqitiD
- 23G. WijnaldumM
- 30D. LopyM
- 10H. AouarM
- 34S. BergwijnF
- 21Y. En-NesyriF
- 25F. AbdiD
- 60Rakan KaabiM
- 50Mohammed Al AbsiG
- 27Ahmed Al GhamdiF
- 8Mukhtar AliM
- 32Ahmed Al JulaydanD
- 99G. IlenikhenaF
- 88Osama Al MermeshG
- 11Saleh Al ShehriF
- 17Khalid EisaG
- 19V. LazaroD
- 4Y. Ben KhaleqD
- 25Rami RabiaD
- 6Đ. SkokoD
- 2Rafael RodriguesD
- 10A. RomeroM
- 70Abdoul Karim TraoréM
- 20M. PalaciosM
- 7G. GiakoumakisF
- 13H. RahimiF
- 8Mohammed Al BaloushiM
- 1Mohammed Bu SandaG
- 5T. GijselhartM
- 97A. JašićM
- 3Marcos MaiaD
- 56A. NiangD
- 65Abdallah Hamisi HassanG
- 18B. IlouF
- 15ErikD
Form going into Al-Ittihad vs Al Ain
Al-Ittihad
AFC Champions League Elite
- W2-1away to Neftchi Fergana26 October 2026
- L1-2Shabab Al Ahli Dubai13 October 2026
- D1-1away to Al Shamal14 September 2026
Al Ain
AFC Champions League Elite
- W2-1Tractor Sazi26 October 2026
- W4-1away to Al Quwa Al Jawiya12 October 2026
- W4-0Al-Nassr15 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al-Ittihad | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 1 | Al Ain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Ittihad and Al Ain
Al-Ittihad
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Al Ain
GoalsAssists
- H. Rahimi50
- A. Romero23
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Ain won 4–1 at Al-Ittihad. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Ittihad at 48% and given a win for Al Ain 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Alejandro Romero Gamarra 17' for Al Ain, Rafa Rodrigues 42' for Al Ain, Marwan Al-Sahafi 53' for Al-Ittihad, Jan-Carlo Simić (own goal) 58' for Al Ain, Matías Palacios (penalty) 90' for Al Ain. On expected goals it finished 1.08–1.80.
How the call on Al-Ittihad v Al Ain has moved
First published on 19 Oct at 44% / 27% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 48% / 26% / 26%: the biggest move is Al-Ittihad's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Al-Ittihad win48%▲ +4
- Draw26%▼ −1
- Al Ain win26%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.