2 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result

Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Referee: Ilgiz Tantashev
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Al Sadd 0-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Al Sadd, 22% draw, 37% Al-Ahli Jeddah — fair odds of 2.44, 4.55 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Al Sadd at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Al Sadd6%Draw88%Al-Ahli Jeddah6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
🔁Valentin Atangana Edoaout: Ziyad Al-Johani
Akram Afif
23'
26'
Wenderson Galeno
🔁Younes El Hannachout: Tarek Salman
45'
🔁Mohamed Camaraout: Mostafa Mashaal
51'
59'
🔁Mohammed Sulaimanout: Rayan Hamed Hamidou
67'
Rayan Hamed Hamidou
🔁Giovani Henrique Amorim da Silvaout: Hashim Ali
69'
🔁Yusuf Abdurisagout: Mohamed Waad
70'
74'
Roger Ibañez
81'
🔁Francisco Trincãoout: Matheus Gonçalves Martins
81'
🔁Artem Bondarenkoout: Makaya Ibrahima Diaby
81'
🔁Ivan Toneyout: Firas Al-Buraikan

Match stats — Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

42%Possession58%
10Shots14
3On target6
2Corners5
0.65xG1.1

Goals against chances

Al Sadd0 from 0.65 xGless than the chances were worth
Al-Ahli Jeddah0 from 1.10 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Al Sadd 4-2-3-1
  • 22Meshaal BarshamG
  • 3Y. El HannachD
  • 2Pedro MiguelD
  • 16Boualem KhoukhiD
  • 6Paulo OtávioD
  • 4M. CamaraM
  • 33ClaudinhoM
  • 11GiovaniM
  • 9Roberto FirminoM
  • 30Akram AfifM
  • 12Y. AbdurisagF
Substitutes
  • 31Yousef Abdulla BaliadehG
  • 10Hassan Al HaydosF
  • 23Hashim AliF
  • 1Saad Al SheebG
  • 21A. BounacerD
  • 17Mohamed Al ManaiM
  • 25Mohammed MuntariF
  • 5Tarek SalmanD
  • 7Mohammed WaadM
Coach: R. Lucescu
Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-2-3-1
  • 16É. MendyG
  • 15Saeed BaattiaD
  • 5Mohammed BakorD
  • 3IbañezD
  • 24A. KintehD
  • 19A. BondarenkoM
  • 6V. Atangana EdoaM
  • 7TrincãoM
  • 8E. SpertsyanM
  • 13GalenoM
  • 17I. ToneyF
Substitutes
  • 62Abdullah AbdoG
  • 21Abdullah RadifF
  • 20Matheus GonçalvesF
  • 46Rayane HamidouD
  • 4Makaya Ibrahima DiabyM
  • 1Abdulrahman Al SanbiG
  • 11Meshal Al MutairiF
  • 30Ziyad Al JohaniM
  • 9Feras Al BrikanF
Coach: M. Pusic

Form going into Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Al Sadd

AFC Champions League Elite

  • D1-1away to Al-Qadisiyah FC26 October 2026
  • L0-2Al-Hilal13 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Esteghlal FC14 September 2026

Al-Ahli Jeddah

AFC Champions League Elite

  • W2-1Al-Gharafa26 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Al-Wasl FC12 October 2026
  • D1-1Pakhtakor14 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

AFC Champions League Elite table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Al Sadd402216-52
6Al-Ahli Jeddah422063+38

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

  • 4 November 2025Al Sadd 1–2 Al-Ahli JeddahAFC Champions League Elite
  • 3 February 2025Al Sadd 1–3 Al-Ahli JeddahAFC Champions League Elite
  • 6 May 2019Al Sadd 2–1 Al-Ahli JeddahAFC Champions League
  • 5 March 2019Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0 Al SaddAFC Champions League
  • 14 May 2018Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–2 Al SaddAFC Champions League
  • 7 May 2018Al Sadd 2–1 Al-Ahli JeddahAFC Champions League

The result against the call

Al Sadd and Al-Ahli Jeddah drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Al Sadd at 41% and given a draw 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.65–1.10.

How the call on Al Sadd v Al-Ahli Jeddah has moved

First published on 19 Oct at 30% / 22% / 48% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 41% / 22% / 37%: the biggest move is Al Sadd's chance of winning, up 11 points.

  1. Al Sadd win41%▲ +11
  2. Draw22%=
  3. Al-Ahli Jeddah win37%▼ −11

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.