Al-Wasl FC vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Al-Wasl FC 4-3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
Before kick-off the model made it 74% Al-Wasl FC, 17% draw, 9% Al Quwa Al Jawiya — fair odds of 1.35, 5.88 and 11.11.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Wasl FC at 74%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Wasl FC vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23D. HorkašG
- 79Pedro MalheiroD
- 4S. BouftiniD
- 34AdryelsonD
- 16HugoD
- 21Cameron PuertasM
- 5A. PopoolaM
- 7Ali SalehM
- 31N. GiménezM
- 19SerginhoM
- 9M. TaremiF
- 32Mohamed AliG
- 17Suhail AbdullaG
- 25Gabriel VaretaD
- 18Malek JaneerM
- 15S. IvkovićD
- 77Leandro SpadacioF
- 10Fábio LimaF
- 20SaldanhaF
- 8Yahia NaderM
- 95Mohammed SalihG
- 13Mujtaba MuhsenD
- 2Ruslan HanoonD
- 19A. BoudramaD
- 3Muslim MousaD
- 16Moses OrkumaM
- 29Tuisila KisindaM
- 25AbdulameerM
- 24Abbas Fawzi HasanM
- 8Hareth HatemM
- 9Haythem JouiniF
- 6Mohanad JeahzeD
- 17Abbas Adil Neamah Al ChnaniD
- 18Ali Akbar TaherF
- 73Ali SaadM
- 90Karar Ali HassanD
- 22Zainulabdeen Nsaif JasimG
- 11Murad SubehM
- 7A. OkpotuF
- 77Mohammad SamiM
Form going into Al-Wasl FC vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Al-Wasl FC
AFC Champions League Elite
- L1-3Al-Ahli Jeddah12 October 2026
- L1-2away to Al-Qadisiyah FC14 September 2026
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
AFC Champions League Elite
- W1-0Pakhtakor26 October 2026
- L1-4Al Ain12 October 2026
- L0-1away to Neftchi Fergana14 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al-Wasl FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Wasl FC and Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Al-Wasl FC
GoalsAssists
- Pedro Malheiro21
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Wasl FC beat Al Quwa Al Jawiya 4–3. The model had made a win for Al-Wasl FC its most likely outcome, at 74%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Mehdi Taremi 6' for Al-Wasl FC, Nicolás Giménez (penalty) 17' for Al-Wasl FC, Hareth Hatem 21' for Al Quwa Al Jawiya, Pedro Jorge Gonçalves Malheiro 45+1' for Al-Wasl FC, Haythem Jouini 55' for Al Quwa Al Jawiya, Nicolás Giménez 67' for Al-Wasl FC, Murad Subeh 80' for Al Quwa Al Jawiya. On expected goals it finished 2.76–1.39.
How the call on Al-Wasl FC v Al Quwa Al Jawiya has moved
First published on 19 Oct at 78% / 15% / 7% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 74% / 17% / 9%: the biggest move is Al-Wasl FC's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Al-Wasl FC win74%▼ −4
- Draw17%▲ +2
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya win9%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.