24 October 2026, 15:05 UTC

Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq Pro League prediction & result

Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass
Referee: Fareeh Al Jaloud, Saudi Arabia
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Al Kholood 0-3 Al-Ettifaq.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Al Kholood, 25% draw, 42% Al-Ettifaq — fair odds of 3.03, 4.00 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Al-Ettifaq at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Al Kholood0%Draw1%Al-Ettifaq99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
Yasir Al-Shammari
32'
🔁Moussa Dembéléout: Sultan Ali Huran
45+3'
⚽Khalid Al-Ghannamassist: Bersant Celina
47'
⚽Khalid Al-Ghannamassist: Abdullah Al-Khateeb
53'
Ondrej Duda
🔁Yaseen Al-Zubaidiout: Antoine Loic Essomba Bikoula
56'
John Buckley
57'
Julien Domingues
58'
64'
🔁Ziyad Abdullah Al-Ghamdiout: Jordan Larsson
🔁Sultan Al Shehriout: Mohammed Sawaan
71'
71'
🔁Madallah Al-Olayanout: Meshal Al-Aeli
71'
🔁Khalid Al-Ghannamout: Matija Gluscevic
71'
🔁Ondrej Dudaout: Abdalellah Hawsawi
75'
•Sultan Ali Huran
78'
⚽Bersant Celina (pen)
80'
Jordan Larsson
🔁Shaquille Pinasout: Abdulrahman Obaid Al-Obaid
83'
🔁Gustavo Gouveia Rodrigues Cruzout: Abdulrahman Al-Dosari
83'
🔁Coba Gomes da Costaout: Yazan Madani
83'

Match stats — Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq

53%Possession47%
19Shots10
5On target8
5Corners2
1.98xG1.33

Goals against chances

Al Kholood0 from 1.98 xGless than the chances were worth
Al-Ettifaq3 from 1.33 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Al Kholood 4-4-2
  • 1Hamed Abdullah YousefG
  • 15Ramzi SolanD
  • 38S. PinasD
  • 25Mansour CamaraD
  • 7Sultan Al ShehriD
  • 26Yaseen Al ZubaidiM
  • 6J. BuckleyM
  • 10Iker KortajarenaM
  • 11CobaM
  • 22J. DominguesF
  • 99GugaF
Substitutes
  • 39Abdulrahman Al DosariM
  • 47Abdulrahman Al ObaidD
  • 30Mohammed Mazyad AlshammariG
  • 48Muhannad Al YahyaG
  • 77A. EssombaF
  • 23Yazan MadaniD
  • 70Muhammad SawanM
  • 24O. AbdulghaniD
  • 67Mohammed Al RashidiM
Coach: D. Buckingham
Al-Ettifaq 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. RodákG
  • 70Abdullah KhateebD
  • 5Pedro HenriqueD
  • 4J. HendryD
  • 33Madallah Al OlayanD
  • 58Yasir ShammariM
  • 11O. DudaM
  • 29Z. Al GhamdiM
  • 43B. CelinaM
  • 7Khalid Al GhannamM
  • 9M. DembéléF
Substitutes
  • 92Turki Ba Al JawshG
  • 88Ali Al EssaF
  • 13Meshal Al AlaeliD
  • 71M. GluščevićF
  • 77AbdulelahM
  • 99Sultan Ali HuranF
  • 87Meshal SibyaniD
  • 17J. LarssonF
  • 78Marzouq TambaktiD
Coach: Arthur Papas

Form going into Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq

Al Kholood

Pro League

  • L2-3away to Al-Faisaly FC15 October 2026
  • L0-5Al-Qadisiyah FC9 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Al Riyadh13 September 2026

Al-Ettifaq

Pro League

  • L1-4Al-Ittihad20 October 2026
  • W1-0away to NEOM17 October 2026
  • D1-1Al Khaleej Saihat10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Saudi Arabia Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Al Kholood113351726-912
7Al-Ettifaq125431817+119

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq

  • 24 January 2026Al Kholood 1–2 Al-EttifaqPro League
  • 28 August 2025Al-Ettifaq 2–1 Al KholoodPro League
  • 10 May 2025Al Kholood 1–0 Al-EttifaqPro League
  • 10 January 2025Al-Ettifaq 2–3 Al KholoodPro League

Leading scorers: Al Kholood and Al-Ettifaq

Al Kholood

GoalsAssists

  • J. Domingues63

Al-Ettifaq

No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Al-Ettifaq won 3–0 at Al Kholood. The model had made a win for Al-Ettifaq its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Khalid Al-Ghannam 45+3' for Al-Ettifaq, Khalid Al-Ghannam 47' for Al-Ettifaq, Bersant Celina (penalty) 78' for Al-Ettifaq. On expected goals it finished 1.98–1.33.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Al Kholood a 13.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 8.6% after a win, 13.9% after a draw, 15.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.7%, 2.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.