Al Nasr vs Hatta SC Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al Nasr 2-0 Hatta SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Al Nasr, 25% draw, 23% Hatta SC — fair odds of 1.92, 4.00 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All UAE Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al Nasr at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Nasr vs Hatta SC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Ahmed ShambihG
- 24Zayed SultanD
- 15Abdoulaye SanogoD
- 4GláuberD
- 55D. PetrovićD
- 7K. AgudeloM
- 19L. MilivojevićM
- 57I. FaizM
- 28A. ToureM
- 70A. HrustićF
- 13R. MierezF
- 17Wesley DelgadoF
- 5Mohammad AbdulbasitM
- 2Salem SultanD
- 21Abdulla IdreesD
- 37S. SalemG
- 30João MoreiraD
- 3Gustavo AlemãoD
- 38Moussa NdiayeM
- 6Hussain MahdiM
- 22Marzooq RashedG
- 3Saeed SulaimanD
- 33Bruno LeonardoD
- 52Bastian KauaD
- 74Adham Khalid Ali AbdelhameedD
- 16J. PedrozaM
- 10A. RchoqM
- 80D. SimonM
- 11F. Ben ArbiF
- 99B. FayeF
- 60D. CoulibalyF
- 44Ibrahim Essa Al BalooshiG
- 28Hamdan Humaid Hasan Ahmed AlbeshrM
- 5Khalid AbdullaD
- 9PedrinhoM
- 30S. JaziriF
- 50Saeed Al MesmariG
- 2Omar SaeedD
- 36SchlickmannM
- 49Jocelyn DoumbiaD
Form going into Al Nasr vs Hatta SC
Al Nasr
Pro League
- D1-1away to Al-Jazira10 September 2026
- L1-2Ajman6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Al Ain29 August 2026
Hatta SC
Pro League
- L1-2Al-Dhafra11 September 2026
- W1-0away to Baniyas SC5 September 2026
- L0-3Sharjah FC30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
United Arab Emirates Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al Nasr | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 11 |
| 13 | Hatta SC | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Nasr vs Hatta SC
- 8 October 2026Al Nasr 4–1 Hatta SCLeague Cup
- 28 March 2024Al Nasr 1–0 Hatta SCPro League
- 28 September 2023Hatta SC 0–3 Al NasrPro League
- 26 February 2021Al Nasr 2–0 Hatta SCPro League
- 8 November 2020Hatta SC 0–3 Al NasrPro League
Leading scorers: Al Nasr and Hatta SC
Al Nasr
GoalsAssists
- R. Mierez21
- K. Agudelo20
Hatta SC
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Nasr beat Hatta SC 2–0. The model had made a win for Al Nasr its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Ramón Mierez 22' for Al Nasr, Abdoulaye Toure 59' for Al Nasr. Sent off: Hamdan Humaid Hasan Ahmed Albeshr (Hatta SC) 84'. On expected goals it finished 2.24–0.84.
How the call on Al Nasr v Hatta SC has moved
First published on 3 Oct at 48% / 27% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 52% / 25% / 23%: the biggest move is Al Nasr's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Al Nasr win52%▲ +4
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Hatta SC win23%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.