17 October 2026, 15:45 UTC

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain Pro League prediction & result

Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2-0 Al Ain.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, 26% draw, 39% Al Ain — fair odds of 2.86, 3.85 and 2.56.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Al Ain at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai99%Draw1%Al Ain0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Reza Ghandipourout: Juan Alvina
13'
Jahnoah Markelo
39'
⚽Sardar Azmounassist: Breno Cascardo Lemos
45+1'
45'
🔁Rafa Rodriguesout: Adis Jasic
⚽Kauan Santos Silvaassist: Juan Alvina
59'
61'
🔁Houssine Rahimiout: Matías Palacios
61'
🔁Teun Gijselhartout: Giorgos Giakoumakis
63'
Yahya Benkhaleq
Renan Victor da Silva
64'
🔁Juan Alvinaout: Mateus Henrique Alves Silva
66'
🔁Renan Victor da Silvaout: Jorge Fernandes
67'
67'
🔁Djordje Skokoout: Baba Bello Ilou
69'
Adis Jasic
79'
Ramy Rabia
84'
🔁Valentino Lazaroout: Erik Jorgens de Menezes
🔁Sardar Azmounout: Mateus Dias Lima
84'
🔁Jahnoah Markeloout: Rikelme Hernandes Amorim Rocha
84'
89'
Abdoul Karim Traoré
90+2'
Abdoul Karim Traoré

Match stats — Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain

39%Possession61%
11Shots29
5On target4
1Corners9
3.08xG2.81

Goals against chances

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2 from 3.08 xGless than the chances were worth
Al Ain0 from 2.81 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 5-4-1
  • 22Hamad AbdullahG
  • 24J. MarkeloD
  • 3Igor GomesD
  • 4W. FaesD
  • 13RenanD
  • 31Kauan SantosD
  • 80Breno CascardoM
  • 6S. EzatolahiM
  • 88N. MaksimovićM
  • 9R. GhandipourM
  • 20S. AzmounF
Substitutes
  • 26Eid Khamis Al-NuaimiM
  • 8Mohammad JumaM
  • 75Mateus HenriqueD
  • 55Juan AlvinaF
  • 19MateusãoF
  • 33Matheus DonelliG
  • 14D. GarcíaM
  • 16RikelmeD
  • 5E. IralaM
Coach: André Jardine
Al Ain 5-3-2
  • 17Khalid EisaG
  • 19V. LazaroD
  • 4Y. Ben KhaleqD
  • 25Rami RabiaD
  • 6Đ. SkokoD
  • 2Rafael RodriguesD
  • 10A. RomeroM
  • 70Abdoul Karim TraoréM
  • 5T. GijselhartM
  • 21S. RahimiF
  • 13H. RahimiF
Substitutes
  • 1Mohammed Bu SandaG
  • 3Marcos MaiaD
  • 20M. PalaciosM
  • 56A. NiangD
  • 35H. MuhammedG
  • 38I. NdiayeM
  • 15ErikD
  • 97A. JašićM
  • 18B. IlouF
Coach: Vladimir Ivic

Form going into Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Pro League

  • D1-1away to Dubai United10 September 2026
  • L1-3Al-Jazira5 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Al-Wasl FC28 August 2026

Al Ain

Pro League

  • D2-2Al-Wasl FC10 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Al-Ittihad Kalba4 September 2026
  • W2-1Al Nasr29 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

United Arab Emirates Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Shabab Al Ahli Dubai7412127+513
3Al Ain7421127+514

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain

  • 10 April 2026Al Ain 3–2 Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League
  • 25 September 2025Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0–1 Al AinPro League
  • 7 April 2025Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0–0 Al AinPro League
  • 10 January 2025Al Ain 0–1 Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League
  • 27 April 2024Al Ain 1–2 Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League
  • 26 November 2023Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0–3 Al AinPro League

The result against the call

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai beat Al Ain 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Al Ain at 39% and given a win for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 35%. The goals: Sardar Azmoun 45+1' for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, Kauan Santos Silva 59' for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. Sent off: Abdoul Karim Traoré (Al Ain) 90+2'. On expected goals it finished 3.08–2.81.

How the call on Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al Ain has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 35% / 28% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 35% / 26% / 39%: the biggest move is Al Ain's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win35%=
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Al Ain win39%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.