Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-4 Al Ain.
Before kick-off the model made it 14% Al Quwa Al Jawiya, 22% draw, 64% Al Ain — fair odds of 7.14, 4.55 and 1.56.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al Ain at 64%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 95Mohammed SalihG
- 17Abbas Adil Neamah Al ChnaniD
- 2Ruslan HanoonD
- 5Saed Al RosanD
- 19A. BoudramaD
- 6Mohanad JeahzeD
- 29Tuisila KisindaM
- 25AbdulameerM
- 24Abbas Fawzi HasanM
- 9Haythem JouiniM
- 10M. JawadF
- 3Muslim MousaD
- 31Mohammad Raheem Ziad DalfiG
- 13Mujtaba MuhsenD
- 21Ramadan SadeeqD
- 77Mohammad SamiM
- 73Ali SaadM
- 7A. OkpotuF
- 11Murad SubehM
- 90Karar Ali HassanD
- 17Khalid EisaG
- 19V. LazaroD
- 4Y. Ben KhaleqD
- 25Rami RabiaD
- 6Đ. SkokoD
- 2Rafael RodriguesD
- 10A. RomeroM
- 70Abdoul Karim TraoréM
- 20M. PalaciosM
- 21S. RahimiF
- 13H. RahimiF
- 56A. NiangD
- 3Marcos MaiaD
- 65Abdallah Hamisi HassanG
- 18B. IlouF
- 15ErikD
- 38I. NdiayeM
- 54Ismaila OkpotiD
- 80Joshua UdohM
- 97A. JašićM
Form going into Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
AFC Champions League Elite
- L0-1away to Neftchi Fergana14 September 2026
Al Ain
AFC Champions League Elite
- W4-0Al-Nassr15 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
| 1 | Al Ain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Ain
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Al Ain
GoalsAssists
- H. Rahimi50
- A. Romero23
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Ain won 4–1 at Al Quwa Al Jawiya. The model had made a win for Al Ain its most likely outcome, at 64%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Alejandro Romero Gamarra 13' for Al Ain, Saed Al-Rosan (own goal) 18' for Al Ain, Houssine Rahimi 23' for Al Ain, Houssine Rahimi 43' for Al Ain, Mohammad Jawad 89' for Al Quwa Al Jawiya. On expected goals it finished 1.72–2.40.
How the call on Al Quwa Al Jawiya v Al Ain has moved
First published on 28 Sep at 18% / 25% / 57% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 14% / 22% / 64%: the biggest move is Al Ain's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya win14%▼ −4
- Draw22%▼ −3
- Al Ain win64%▲ +7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.