13 October 2026, 13:30 UTC

Malavan vs Foolad FC Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium, Bandar-e Anzali
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Malavan 1-2 Foolad FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Malavan, 29% draw, 38% Foolad FC — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Foolad FC at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Malavan3%Draw92%Foolad FC5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽E. Shahriariassist: A. Karimi
4'
G. Eslamikhah
53'
🔁E. Shahriariout: F. Jafari
57'
🔁M. Beheshtiout: M. Papi
57'
61'
🔁Y. Mazraeout: A. Bagheri
61'
🔁A. Jolaniout: G. Latifi
🔁Q. Islamicout: B. Barzay
68'
🔁A. Nesaeiout: V. Asgarpour
68'
🔁A. Ramezaniout: A. Khoshkafa
74'
76'
🔁M. Mohammadiout: V. Amiri
76'
🔁S. Ansariout: M. Kazemi
80'
🔁M. Sarlakout: A. Attar
88'
⚽V. Amiri
G. Eslamikhah
89'
G. Eslamikhah
89'
90+6'
⚽A. Attar (pen)
90+11'
G. Latifi

Line-ups

Malavan
Coach: Maziar Zare

Form going into Malavan vs Foolad FC

Malavan

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • D1-1away to Aluminium Arak8 October 2026

Foolad FC

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Mes Shahr-e Babak8 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Malavan123361218-610
4Foolad FC12651126+623

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Malavan vs Foolad FC

  • 22 January 2026Malavan 2–2 Foolad FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 26 August 2025Foolad FC 0–1 MalavanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 15 May 2025Malavan 1–1 Foolad FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 2 January 2025Foolad FC 2–1 MalavanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 27 February 2024Foolad FC 1–1 MalavanPersian Gulf Pro League

The result against the call

Foolad FC won 2–1 at Malavan. The model had made a win for Foolad FC its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: E. Shahriari 4' for Malavan, V. Amiri 88' for Foolad FC, A. Attar (penalty) 90+6' for Foolad FC. Sent off: G. Eslamikhah (Malavan) 89'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Malavan a 8.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: under 1% after a win, 7.4% after a draw, 14.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.7%, 6.1 points higher than before the match.

For Foolad FC the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 17.2% going in: 28.8% after a win, 11.0% after a draw, 6.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 28.8%, 11.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.