13 October 2026, 12:30 UTC

ZOB Ahan vs Sepahan FC Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Foolad Shahr Stadium, Isfahan
Full time1 – 2

Final score: ZOB Ahan 1-2 Sepahan FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 27% ZOB Ahan, 28% draw, 45% Sepahan FC — fair odds of 3.70, 3.57 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sepahan FC at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

ZOB Ahan0%Draw2%Sepahan FC98%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
⚽M. Lotfiassist: A. Rezavand
A. Jeddi
9'
23'
⚽K. Rezaeiassist: A. Rezavand
🔁P. Mokhtariout: A. Mortazavi
32'
34'
O. Noorafkan
S. Hosseini
38'
🔁M. Ghaed Rahmatiout: B. Teymourian
53'
🔁A. Shojaeiout: J. Alimohammadi
55'
🔁R. Jafariout: A. Kazemi
76'
78'
🔁M. Lotfiout: A. Khodadadi
78'
🔁M. Limouchiout: A. Shafiedoost
⚽O. Latifi
83'
87'
A. Khodadadi
89'
🔁H. Mohammadiout: S. Karimi
A. Ghaderi
90+3'

Line-ups

Sepahan FC
Coach: Moharram Navidkia

Form going into ZOB Ahan vs Sepahan FC

ZOB Ahan

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Nassaji Mazandaran8 October 2026

Sepahan FC

All competitions we cover

  • W6-1Fajr Sepasi8 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14ZOB Ahan12174610-410
1Sepahan FC12822237+1626

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: ZOB Ahan vs Sepahan FC

  • 4 October 2025Sepahan FC 0–0 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 21 February 2025Sepahan FC 4–1 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 22 September 2024ZOB Ahan 1–1 Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 17 April 2024Sepahan FC 1–0 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League

The result against the call

Sepahan FC won 2–1 at ZOB Ahan. The model had made a win for Sepahan FC its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: M. Lotfi 2' for Sepahan FC, K. Rezaei 23' for Sepahan FC, O. Latifi 83' for ZOB Ahan. Sent off: S. Hosseini (ZOB Ahan) 38'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave ZOB Ahan a 9.9% chance to finish in the bottom three: 1.0% after a win, 8.2% after a draw, 15.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.4%, 5.5 points higher than before the match.

For Sepahan FC the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 62.9% going in: 78.4% after a win, 55.7% after a draw, 42.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 78.4%, 15.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on ZOB Ahan v Sepahan FC has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 32% / 31% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 27% / 28% / 45%: the biggest move is Sepahan FC's chance of winning, up 8 points.

  1. ZOB Ahan win27%▼ −5
  2. Draw28%▼ −3
  3. Sepahan FC win45%▲ +8

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.